TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5028…9bb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,749
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmicbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$81.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$79.27
Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$50.91
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Arthur Filsbacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+74.2%+$222.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$23.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboianbacked Valerio Aboian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Santos: Miguel Tobon vs Facundo Menabacked Miguel Tobon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Brazzaville: Franco Ribero vs Matyas Cernybacked Franco Ribero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+264.6%+$131.56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cuibacked Jie Cui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$265.76
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Solana Sierra vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+84%+$168.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$296.41
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Veronika Erjavec · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$120.7
Istanbul: Donna Vekic vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Pedro Martinez vs Jesper de Jongbacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Mauthausen: Andrea Guerrieri vs Jaime Fariabacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$692Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$374.26
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+144%+$850.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$223
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.