TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c14,430$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.21911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-81.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e37…deb2backed No27c6,908$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked No11c6,757$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.435530.9%17 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25b2…4c32backed No3c5,679$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No2c4,674$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0370%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No5c3,262$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.09575.3%3 W · 54 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-85.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No6c2,873$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d56…046fbacked No8c2,689$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.95425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-61.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba2…3e32backed No8c2,590$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes50c2,561$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8794…fa1bbacked No1c2,404$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac6…ec84backed No6c2,391$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No1c2,363$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.91120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab5…900bbacked No5c2,349$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960c…1acfbacked No6c2,185$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked No48c2,101$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes69c1,963$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.481070%7 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked No21c1,900$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.981136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6043…84afbacked No38c1,774$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f4…78e4backed No6c1,746$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked No3c1,619$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked No20c1,605$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc53d…4346backed No1c1,446$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a0…a2b9backed Yes72c1,369$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67c…44adbacked No2c1,340$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Yes59c1,316$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.491764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x311a…d9e8backed No1c1,160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No9c1,156$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.34100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Yes10c1,065$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+409.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked No3c1,060$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c3…3a41backed No16c1,032$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7943…89fbbacked No51c980.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked No1c972.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No6c914.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.523050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…9bb7backed No25c881.22$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No2c871.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes49c819.99$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7879…f964backed No28c799.98$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No13c783.54$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6c…b432backed No3c779.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes53c765.27$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.243225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No36c741.79$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.567050%35 W · 35 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49e…90d1backed No7c711.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a4d…a2c2backed No3c689.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2627…0587backed Yes62c658.89$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…33b9backed No9c644.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7114…6432backed No4c638$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd34d…b5c3backed No2c632.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd15…f245backed No3c620.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…1246backed No27c610.63$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…6a76backed No34c594.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe23b…c1e5backed Yes50c594.76$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Yes65c583.02$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ecd…9eb2backed No2c572.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…c5dcbacked No8c559.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x027a…ea13backed No3c549.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6f…1cfebacked No5c539.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf116…b3f9backed No32c531.52$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No13c530.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.13435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6616…95efbacked No3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes68c474.13$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6650…dca4backed No5c472.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No9c465.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.381258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab67…6506backed No2c462.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e0…d024backed No24c443.72$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5810…ae81backed No16c442.56$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…ad0dbacked No3c440.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b16…b3a4backed No5c423.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Yes72c419.57$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.511485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1bc…2619backed No14c410.47$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1687468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fc…0808backed No15c392.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…0791backed No66c389.47$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No11c375$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1de…aadfbacked No28c358.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Yes76c356.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.662060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x924d…3429backed No40c337.69$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick38cpaid-81.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e82…af92backed No21c333.59$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.631060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1994…b4e5backed No7c331.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…1c29backed No4c327.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b4…6709backed No5c314$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No11c303$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.791675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes33c302.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.945050%25 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed No4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f3c…30d6backed No30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No18c276.86$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7470…72e1backed No41c270.36$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb53e…1aa3backed No38c260$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked No23c256.35$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe389…9e38backed Yes66c254.21$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes59c250$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x266f…b8dabacked Yes62c249.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e2…c5c6backed No61c244.05$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503548.6%17 W · 18 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb014…bd18backed No67c240.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa4…dcd6backed No21c239.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdd…8874backed No4c238.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed No4c230.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104141.5%17 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…c0bbbacked No43c230$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11fb…7851backed No10c224.69$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d6…69f2backed No7c217.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.