TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x027a…ea13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AlimentaChino Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+296.4%+$83.46
Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+365.8%+$329.64
Will Karchez Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (Low Elo)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$15.8
Will Siler Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.78
Will Manolito Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will EkkoTheNeeko Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.49
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.87
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+129.9%+$113
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+64.7%+$19.65
Will Bdd (Gwak Bo-seong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.2%+$15.54
Will Gumayusi (Lee Min-hyeong) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+96.3%+$58.86
Will Oner (Mun Hyeon-jun) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+66.1%+$279.43
Will Keria (Ryu Min-seok) be named MVP in the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+72.2%+$182.34
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+129.9%+$113
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.61
Will a team from LCP (Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.84
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.1
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.27
Will a team from LTA (Americas) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOIbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.28
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corpbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Boxing — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: IlloJuan vs TheGrefgbacked IlloJuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.64
La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRobacked RoRo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+130.5%+$515.47
La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keobacked Kidd Keo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.7
La Velada del Año 6: La Parce vs Fabiana Sevillanobacked Parce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$73.19
La Velada del Año 6: Alondrissa vs Angie Velascobacked Velasco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$138.84
La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käerbacked Díaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$110.45
La Velada del Año 6: Clersss vs Natalia MXbacked Clersss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.18
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Ariasbacked Gero Arias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$96.67
Boxing: Abby vs. RoRobacked RoRo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$660.65
Boxing: TheGrefg vs Westcolbacked TheGrefg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$345.74
Boxing: Alana vs Ari Gelibacked Geli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.28
Boxing: Perxitaa vs. Gaspibacked Perxitaa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+140.4%+$600.53
Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás Mazzabacked Mazza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$257.34
Boxing: Peereira7 vs. Rivaldiosbacked Peereira7 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+178.9%+$325.68
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$251.37
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$40.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92.29
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29%+$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FNC vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: KOI vs G2backed KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.