Boxing · resolved market
Boxing: Alana vs Ari Geli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631c4331f7682310ec2f5eecddfc48e43514f70bce35621adcc396c6a510445a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alana of Alana , Geli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Alana | 68c | 676.42$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…0ca3backed Geli | 33c | 607.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Geli | 23c | 402.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Alana | 75c | 270.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Geli | 31c | 239.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Alana | 67c | 181.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Geli | 16c | 124.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06bc…2887backed Geli | 20c | 78.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…ae9abacked Geli | 29c | 66.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…9a30backed Geli | 37c | 61.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Alana | 69c | 59.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Alana | 74c | 54.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…1152backed Alana | 67c | 52.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…d9e3backed Alana | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…dea8backed Alana | 77c | 46.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd978…d50abacked Alana | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed Alana | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…255abacked Alana | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…8fe0backed Alana | 79c | 25.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fd…1e36backed Geli | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…e826backed Geli | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a0…590dbacked Alana | 77c | 16.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boxing: Alana vs Ari Gelithis page
- Boxing: Abby vs. RoRoAbby won
- Boxing: Andoni vs. Carlos BelcastAndoni won
- Boxing: Peereira7 vs. RivaldiosPeereira7 won
- Boxing: Perxitaa vs. GaspiPerxitaa won
- Boxing: TheGrefg vs WestcolTheGrefg won
- Boxing: Viruzz vs Tomás MazzaViruzz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.