TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0dd3…8715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Valorant at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.04
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Movistar KOI win the LEC 2026 Versus?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.36
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45.86
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$4.66
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.88
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.82
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.05
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+40.3%+$10.48
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
League of Legends: Movistar KOI vs. Fnaticbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$13.05
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. Karmine Corpbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$5.79
League of Legends: GIANTX vs. BDSbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.32
League of Legends: GIANTX vs. Team Vitalitybacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+75.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$199.29
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$12.54
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.33
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$8.99
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Timberwolves (To Advance)backed T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Jimmy Butler get traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+108.8%+$14.85
Will Lebron tweet again in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$22.37
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+62.7%+$6.43
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.18
Nordea Open: Darderi vs. De Jongbacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Khachanovbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$6.73
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$14.56
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.58
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$28.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+210.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.74
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10.87
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+2,046%+$511.49
Will Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+37%+$11.1
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$16.89
Will MOUZ win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$19.37
Will Spirit win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$9.54
IEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.