Valorant · resolved market
Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf14a07efbd7a696223df82df14a05781e432caf415f1900bab9b81cc12dd83f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Yes | 54c | 28,484$15,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,384.77 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 45c | 15,555$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,555.25 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Yes | 51c | 7,080$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 49c | 3,737$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.19 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed No | 46c | 2,536$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.56 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Yes | 44c | 1,902$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.34 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Yes | 53c | 1,894$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,884$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,715$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 51c | 1,541$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.17 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 47c | 1,527$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.69 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ae…84cebacked No | 49c | 1,499$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,257$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,067$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Yes | 52c | 825.52$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.27 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Yes | 70c | 651.06$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Yes | 19c | 532.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed No | 49c | 528.78$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 7c | 415$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…a351backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b2…5898backed Yes | 20c | 242.01$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…ed78backed Yes | 44c | 227.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Yes | 46c | 217.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…03c1backed Yes | 35c | 210.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f13…3a2dbacked No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 75c | 166$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…562cbacked Yes | 77c | 152.57$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 18c | 151.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…f34cbacked Yes | 19c | 137.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Yes | 47c | 126.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…327fbacked Yes | 32c | 126.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…5e86backed Yes | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e74…beb4backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 29c | 116.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…e801backed Yes | 53c | 111.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…e881backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 77c | 94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…f0bfbacked No | 59c | 92.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…2216backed No | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 16c | 82.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…ec59backed Yes | 33c | 75.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed No | 47c | 74.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…424cbacked Yes | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Yes | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3e14backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e48…710bbacked Yes | 50c | 48.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…ccdabacked Yes | 49c | 44.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed Yes | 32c | 43.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…02a1backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…2047backed Yes | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…ed98backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…aa7cbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6555…eadebacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3b…9083backed Yes | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Yes | 47c | 34.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…0fe5backed Yes | 58c | 34.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Yes | 55c | 28.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…4e8dbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fnatic win VALORANT Champions 2025?this page
- Will DRX win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will G2 Esports win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will GIANTX win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will MIBR win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?Yes won
- Will Paper Rex win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will Sentinels win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will T1 win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
- Will Team Heretics win VALORANT Champions 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.