TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f13…3a2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.9
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$117.67
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$144.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,336Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$1,060.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$400
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$86
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$90.69
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.85
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$293.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,726.32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,922Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,921.69
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.6
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$557
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$77.67
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,724Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$798.05
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$143.95
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$54.08
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$234
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$466.54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$236.39
Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.43
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.22
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$93.97
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$132.41
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,778Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+32.9%+$585.24
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$292
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,576Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72%+$1,854.56
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50.84
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$166.79
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$668.41
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$152.24
Will Gérald Darmanin be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.91
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,175.61
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$3,276.31
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$104.38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+44%+$222.78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+74.3%+$22.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$468.89
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$156.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+43.5%+$37.95
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$41.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+127.6%+$224.22
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$152
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$293.02
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Padres vs. Cubsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$45
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$72.91
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$781.9
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Athletics vs. Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$73.1
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$416.45
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.2%+$115.37
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+79.5%+$384.48
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$57.63
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+46.3%+$63.29
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.48
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$589
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.67
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$86.97
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$155.43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$75.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$616.47
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$165.54
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$145.99
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$102.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-41.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+69.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan (-14.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.6
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-3.5)backed Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$125
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Suns vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lyon win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.26
Will FCSB win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+127.3%+$168
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,747Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$3,156.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+89.2%+$28.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$134.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$316
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.