TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof FURIA, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$566,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,499.9639249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION45c49,659$22,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,487.1783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA56c47,221$26,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,311.0541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA58c43,708$25,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,306.5323145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked PARIVISION39c33,933$13,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.246848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked PARIVISION40c32,161$12,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,439.9476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA60c31,067$18,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,744.4621051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION43c20,299$8,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,623.863,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed FURIA61c14,683$9,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,023.2712653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION39c12,845$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,844.8165650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ab…0fe6backed PARIVISION40c11,572$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,920.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION44c11,111$4,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,222.1681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed FURIA59c11,000$6,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,539.962437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION61c10,631$6,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.7515050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION49c9,223$4,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,669.859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked PARIVISION53c6,819$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.12,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed PARIVISION53c6,686$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,144.261,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked PARIVISION43c6,666$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.6222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed PARIVISION53c5,323$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,516.134,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked PARIVISION38c5,068$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.1727133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed FURIA62c5,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA61c4,044$2,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.2732552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked PARIVISION37c3,073$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.6121251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA61c3,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA48c2,831$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.6347738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA36c2,779$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.632,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION39c2,773$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.1264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed PARIVISION38c2,609$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.228053.8%43 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed PARIVISION43c2,517$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.4722554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed PARIVISION40c2,511$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.882378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+37.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION45c2,500$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.663,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION39c2,480$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.961,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION51c2,361$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.8437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed FURIA52c2,211$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1504173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked PARIVISION42c2,184$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.935650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION45c2,026$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.193,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked PARIVISION43c1,991$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.41,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd568…a35abacked PARIVISION58c1,986$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.993351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA54c1,807$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.6546345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed FURIA59c1,740$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.210335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA64c1,624$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.021,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed FURIA62c1,618$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed FURIA61c1,563$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96120944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION43c1,533$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.026,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION39c1,375$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.7555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed FURIA61c1,347$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.572462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION40c1,300$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78012752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed PARIVISION54c1,215$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.5412752.8%67 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed FURIA61c1,192$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.858944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION43c1,170$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.925555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked FURIA59c1,167$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.632548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION54c1,105$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.617,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc59…f77dbacked FURIA71c1,097$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed FURIA64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64044648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked PARIVISION43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.0811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed FURIA57c999.98$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed FURIA38c997.35$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5411343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc48a…bfc6backed FURIA62c943.39$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed PARIVISION48c929.9$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.953850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked PARIVISION37c907.29$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.4716846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA58c854.99$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf3…f1bcbacked PARIVISION42c835.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked PARIVISION41c802.07$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.229941.4%41 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc3…4972backed PARIVISION42c799.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.999273.9%68 W · 24 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION45c769.4$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1624538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed FURIA53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40011643.1%50 W · 66 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked PARIVISION35c750$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.51346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA28c745.88$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.52,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FURIA55c714.7$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.7341850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c9…dfeabacked PARIVISION71c706.39$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.031747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40623848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA28c700$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19558651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked PARIVISION69c694.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0311443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4380…9b41backed FURIA29c687.17$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA59c680.2$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed FURIA65c679.84$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed PARIVISION38c658.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0314532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed FURIA39c655.69$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7547641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA60c651$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FURIA54c637.18$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.6617548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked FURIA58c600$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed PARIVISION48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31231444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked PARIVISION40c598.33$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.862544%11 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed PARIVISION46c553.02$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.634924.5%12 W · 37 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f7e…cec3backed PARIVISION36c551$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf62…9043backed PARIVISION37c535$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+173.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked FURIA55c532.51$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.783754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed PARIVISION38c528.97$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9127950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed FURIA54c500$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.69340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed FURIA53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26539851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed PARIVISION46c500$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.359769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85f9…51b1backed FURIA64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked PARIVISION51c490.54$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.382572%18 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked PARIVISION50c459.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7938051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked FURIA44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked PARIVISION61c439.25$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.311764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked PARIVISION46c439.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1319642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked PARIVISION41c422.01$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd265…a7ecbacked PARIVISION42c415.52$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.357651.3%39 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.