CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12215527902629573ff4bc77db3d3f2a7e766ee5398e30968ec36c6f9fc5a99b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Under | 60c | 5,000$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.98 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,246$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.68 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 0c | 4,045$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e80…db21backed Under | 52c | 2,800$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Under | 51c | 1,985$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Over | 49c | 1,985$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 54c | 1,906$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.13 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 56c | 1,815$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.22 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 49c | 916.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.11 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 40c | 831.69$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.97 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 61c | 682.91$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.77 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…0126backed Over | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5056…db7dbacked Under | 36c | 346.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 46c | 339.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 54c | 277$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 255.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…8601backed Over | 79c | 123.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c5abacked Over | 63c | 123.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…8addbacked Under | 56c | 119.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…90dcbacked Over | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Over | 47c | 85.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 42c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…ec11backed Over | 50c | 74.55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…d188backed Under | 50c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 46c | 67.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 60c | 67.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Under | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…990abacked Over | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 56c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…81efbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Under | 56c | 38.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 52c | 37.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 47c | 35.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Over | 51c | 32.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Under | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 36c | 31.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 54c | 31.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Under | 38c | 29.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Over | 55c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…b0acbacked Under | 45c | 25.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 48c | 24.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 53c | 22.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group StageFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.