TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d6d…8601

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Serie A at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST3053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$82.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+165.1%+$113.88
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+257.1%+$195.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.03
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.1%+$16.37
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+48.9%+$5.38
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+45.6%+$48.76
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+54.7%+$9.82
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+45.9%+$50.18
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Sharks (BO3) - Ace South American Masters Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+72.6%+$20.33
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.6
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+35.7%+$16.24
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Underground ESC (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Playoffsbacked Underground ESC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.13
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+106.4%+$59.72
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Thunderbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+426.3%+$149.21
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+88.6%+$23.04
FC Lorient vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.5%+$6.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+148.2%+$63.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$400.76
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+61.8%+$79.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - USA vs. Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$161.34
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.