NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee8c736270c36d314a3db86983eca6da7de3f4e24a7dcddadfa9aa2c258ce38

Rebuilt 2 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Bucks, Thunder
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,560,532
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,627,040

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,560,532 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 979 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8764…604abacked Bucks	18c	838,595$149,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689,164.28	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	+14.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+47%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks	16c	163,135$25,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,664.65	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Bucks	19c	128,386$24,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103,386.47	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Bucks	17c	122,012$20,224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,787.36	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Bucks	17c	88,356$14,637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,718.97	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Bucks	15c	75,143$11,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,727.06	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Thunder	35c	67,837$23,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,822.74	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Bucks	17c	61,000$10,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50,630	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder	69c	59,909$41,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,610.25	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Bucks	18c	50,078$9,044 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,033.64	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks	16c	50,000$7,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,003.93	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Bucks	19c	41,010$7,592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,418.1	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Bucks	55c	40,000$22,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,999.94	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder	79c	37,826$29,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,696.76	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks	17c	37,510$6,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,133.28	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks	15c	33,361$5,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,357.09	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Bucks	19c	31,121$5,913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,208.05	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-6.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2354…77b1backed Bucks	19c	26,310$4,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,311.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Thunder	75c	25,057$18,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,691.02	113	44.2%50 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Thunder	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Bucks	56c	22,703$12,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,989.53	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	49c	21,471$10,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,025.28	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder	1c	21,301$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.98	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks	56c	21,024$11,774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,250.7	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed Thunder	0c	20,118$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	405	36.5%148 W · 257 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder	80c	20,000$16,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,000	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Bucks	18c	20,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,399.99	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Bucks	15c	20,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,999.97	98	28.6%28 W · 70 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Bucks	15c	19,532$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,582.06	287	42.9%123 W · 164 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks	18c	18,551$3,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,217.27	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bucks	19c	18,371$3,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,838.49	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder	37c	18,008$6,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,749.48	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Thunder	54c	17,375$9,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,311.59	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder	29c	17,098$4,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,993.29	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder	53c	16,714$8,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,929.32	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bucks	19c	16,000$3,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,960	245	49%120 W · 125 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Thunder	71c	15,289$10,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,795.23	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Thunder	44c	15,125$6,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,655	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-8.5wins	-0.25per pick	37cpaid	-62%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Thunder	3c	14,783$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.97	645	17.1%110 W · 535 L	-11.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Bucks	58c	14,308$8,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,019.25	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Bucks	17c	13,970$2,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,595.08	240	45.4%109 W · 131 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Thunder	1c	13,657$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.57	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Bucks	17c	13,410$2,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,085.83	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6442…600cbacked Thunder	38c	13,280$4,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,995.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Bucks	16c	13,099$2,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,002.74	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks	55c	13,012$7,205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,806.2	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Bucks	14c	13,000$1,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,124.64	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Thunder	11c	12,651$1,448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,447.89	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Bucks	17c	12,100$2,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,043	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Thunder	77c	12,084$9,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,320.28	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Bucks	27c	12,000$3,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,779.99	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bucks	28c	11,329$3,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,191.66	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Thunder	37c	10,724$3,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,933.97	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Bucks	51c	10,673$5,431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,242.11	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bucks	56c	10,268$5,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,555.67	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Bucks	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,400	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x96e9…d630backed Thunder	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	46cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Bucks	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,099.98	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder	38c	9,946$3,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,786.11	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bucks	22c	9,231$2,041 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,189.97	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb5…3fbfbacked Bucks	19c	9,000$1,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,290	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed Thunder	79c	8,100$6,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,429.98	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	56c	8,067$4,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,582.41	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Bucks	31c	7,929$2,430 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,498.61	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d9d…c2ddbacked Thunder	22c	7,900$1,738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,738	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Bucks	62c	7,889$4,871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,017.46	168	48.2%81 W · 87 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Bucks	38c	7,666$2,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,749.19	136	25.7%35 W · 101 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Bucks	17c	7,545$1,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,262.35	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Bucks	17c	7,323$1,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,078.09	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bucks	18c	7,079$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,828.49	352	51.1%180 W · 172 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Bucks	19c	7,000$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,670	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7cc…644ebacked Thunder	30c	6,932$2,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,085.53	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Bucks	18c	6,778$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,557.78	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Bucks	37c	6,700$2,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,214.98	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Thunder	62c	6,668$4,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,163.08	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder	42c	6,593$2,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,792.82	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bucks	15c	6,284$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,341.4	196	45.9%90 W · 106 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Bucks	16c	6,149$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,164.82	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bucks	19c	6,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,860	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Thunder	1c	5,818$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.05	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Thunder	8c	5,779$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.27	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Thunder	80c	5,591$4,473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,472.81	39	59%23 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Thunder	1c	5,544$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.15	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Thunder	56c	5,495$3,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,056.68	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bucks	45c	5,400$2,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,954.33	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5b…073bbacked Bucks	22c	5,388$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,206.68	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…fd52backed Thunder	16c	5,352$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.71	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0303…1770backed Bucks	30c	5,302$1,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,687.49	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Thunder	76c	5,240$3,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,985.4	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Thunder	1c	5,216$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Thunder	58c	5,190$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	259	45.6%118 W · 141 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks	16c	5,050$808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,242	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	297	48.1%143 W · 154 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Bucks	19c	5,000$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,075	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Thunder	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.99	81	50.6%41 W · 40 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…db04backed Thunder	70c	4,975$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Thunder	45c	4,876$2,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,205.41	390	51.5%201 W · 189 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder	21c	4,762$984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$983.71	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Thunder	56c	4,744$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Bucks	20c	4,581$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,664.8	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bucks vs. Thunderthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event