TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,221

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c6,590$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.762,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c3,470$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Over53c3,397$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.5220147.8%96 W · 105 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under49c3,356$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.299051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over59c3,271$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.641,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c2,561$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over52c2,541$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.611225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,774$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.834,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Over52c1,566$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.1113464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over53c1,277$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67740451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,119$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over50c1,065$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5364654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Over53c1,054$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.853063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c869.08$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.233,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under39c827.38$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.863,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over53c709.77$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1810254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c676.29$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over44c658.44$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over70c504.1$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.562347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under49c491.5$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8211351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over53c435.68$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.919861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over53c433.97$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2254…e6e5backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004734%16 W · 31 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Over51c350$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17754853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c299.72$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.374,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c255.49$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.62,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over51c250$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.51,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under10c208.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.051,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10078652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10223630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9882440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024850%124 W · 124 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over50c199.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6314742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c196.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.82,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c193.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4892…27bcbacked Over53c189.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004369.8%30 W · 13 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+34.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xabbf…0758backed Under39c175.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5539047.7%186 W · 204 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over54c166.2$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7512747.2%60 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over51c160.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.238851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c142.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over53c128.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.112572%18 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over54c124.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6752951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6041742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c104.48$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.372,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c103.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.364,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2df…82a8backed Under49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.02771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+43.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c101.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5433360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5349351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over51c92.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.228850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under50c65.41$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4240849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under48c57.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3091148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe847…b7e2backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over72c53.75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5861253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over53c52.58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2841556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4387…2b3dbacked Over47c50.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.643046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42b…45d2backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259653.1%51 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Under46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2727548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Over52c44.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2319951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7178…8fb9backed Over54c42.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236360.3%38 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under48c41.88$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.871,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over71c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.412961.2%79 W · 50 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under49c36.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Over52c32.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.148254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over52c31.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5838251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec2…c5f1backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156053.3%32 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13c…8410backed Over50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Over56c26.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510248%49 W · 53 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over49c26.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0362844.9%282 W · 346 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…5e13backed Over67c22.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c21.54$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.421,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb4…68c3backed Over76c21.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1149358.6%289 W · 204 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…2393backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.518157.5%104 W · 77 L+21.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c87…9335backed Over72c19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.