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NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,454 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Over46c2,411$1,121 inWon+$1,290.395,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e46…35efbacked Under53c1,871$1,000 inLost-$1,0003850%19 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under53c799.99$424 inLost-$423.994050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under54c560.26$301 inLost-$300.5818650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over47c305.78$144 inWon+$162.0629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over47c240.41$114 inWon+$126.611,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Over47c187.23$88 inWon+$99.235558.2%32 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2608…34c1backed Over54c85.19$46 inWon+$39.199100%9 W · 0 L+4.2wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c85.19$39 inLost-$39.192,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb15…f4f8backed Over79c74.7$59 inWon+$15.78254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over51c24.51$12 inWon+$12.0141556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dca…ff05backed Over47c22.32$10 inWon+$11.831450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.