NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582c1a72ecca708c6ac25d41194c15aebfcad566b328492c4d6348921769902c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 48c | 25,513$12,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,246.16 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…4535backed Over | 51c | 19,640$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 63c | 8,752$5,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,487.39 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,534$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 50c | 6,250$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 47c | 6,008$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,818.37 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 5,492$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 5,221$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 46c | 4,561$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.21 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…bc23backed Over | 55c | 4,060$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 54c | 3,984$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.64 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 3,626$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 50c | 3,613$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 51c | 3,583$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.66 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 48c | 3,244$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.51 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Under | 53c | 3,067$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.48 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 46c | 2,306$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.35 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Over | 3c | 1,960$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,653$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.46 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,577$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Under | 43c | 1,541$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.73 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 57c | 1,270$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.47 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 50c | 1,162$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.01 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 969$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.85 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Under | 47c | 894.95$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.32 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 894$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.76 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 869.92$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.79 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 48c | 799$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.54 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 744.44$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.44 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 664.43$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…effebacked Under | 53c | 622.64$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 41c | 583.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.98 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 557.3$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 524.35$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 64c | 521.86$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 49c | 507.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 49c | 493$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.83 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 481.54$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 47c | 475.53$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.32 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 8c | 462.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 46c | 450.52$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 15c | 445$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.25 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 48c | 418$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 372.75$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 48c | 340$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 53c | 334$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.02 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 49c | 306.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Under | 69c | 298.85$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 281.31$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Under | 71c | 280.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 59c | 263$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 244.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 237.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Under | 79c | 220$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 217.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 48c | 211.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +428%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Over | 46c | 191.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Under | 53c | 190.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4949…478ebacked Over | 53c | 188.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 58c | 161.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Over | 66c | 151.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…3449backed Over | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1a2dbacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 29c | 146.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.32 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 53c | 137.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under | 54c | 130.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 52c | 125.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Over | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Over | 47c | 117.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 48c | 108.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…9599backed Over | 46c | 107.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Under | 27c | 107.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 54c | 94.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 54c | 92.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 91.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 70c | 90.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 39c | 90.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 55c | 90.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…7f1bbacked Over | 48c | 87.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
- AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Bucks vs. ThunderBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.