NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f80d8db241b6c88ae9bd8dc9d480f4f71138a79f6f7bcced7be1e5acf29808f

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Thunder, Bucks
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,035
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $124,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,035 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x01ea…bea2backed Thunder	36c	41,676$15,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,002.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks	57c	38,654$21,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,793.95	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks	60c	13,819$8,292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,527.72	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Thunder	44c	12,805$5,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,634	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder	44c	11,727$5,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,159.93	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucks	69c	9,888$6,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,024.98	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	60c	5,723$3,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,311.08	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder	45c	4,895$2,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,202.83	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks	59c	4,793$2,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977.93	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks	55c	3,469$1,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.63	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder	45c	3,303$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.46	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Bucks	58c	1,971$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$827.88	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Thunder	41c	1,920$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder	46c	1,436$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.81	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder	41c	1,302$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.55	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Bucks	59c	999.98$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.99	331	46.2%153 W · 178 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder	41c	929.27$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Bucks	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Bucks	60c	893.16$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.78	209	63.2%132 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Bucks	57c	878.13$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.13	285	54.7%156 W · 129 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bucks	70c	797$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.1	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Bucks	57c	786.3$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.3	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Bucks	56c	777.02$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.89	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder	41c	736.92$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.14	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks	56c	673.17$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.04	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Thunder	39c	639.94$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.39	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Thunder	33c	593.17$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.68	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Thunder	24c	559.12$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.53	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Bucks	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks	70c	487.54$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.26	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Thunder	41c	439.02$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Bucks	64c	420.25$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.78	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa0…d504backed Thunder	45c	395$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.75	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Bucks	57c	360.13$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.13	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Thunder	44c	318.18$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	258	47.3%122 W · 136 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Thunder	41c	315.76$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.98	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks	64c	310.37$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.38	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Bucks	58c	250$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder	42c	249.16$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.66	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Bucks	57c	232.55$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder	12c	219.43$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.66	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc582…6c90backed Thunder	47c	212.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.39per pick	53cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Bucks	59c	203.39$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.39	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Bucks	53c	197.21$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.69	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Bucks	74c	196.87$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.92	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bucks	77c	187.48$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.75	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Thunder	45c	165.8$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.61	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder	47c	160$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.2	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Bucks	67c	150$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Thunder	41c	145.12$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	521	46.6%243 W · 278 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Thunder	42c	145$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.9	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Bucks	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Bucks	55c	127.27$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.27	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Bucks	59c	118.64$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.64	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks	68c	113.07$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.43	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Thunder	46c	112.8$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.89	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bucks	66c	101$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Bucks	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Bucks	56c	88.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.65	257	52.5%135 W · 122 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7691…7af7backed Bucks	60c	80$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+31%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fe9…0bbbbacked Bucks	68c	79.39$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Thunder	45c	75.2$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.84	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Thunder	42c	72.65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.51	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Bucks	56c	72.32$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.82	398	64.3%256 W · 142 L	+33.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f18…2080backed Bucks	64c	69.75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.79	248	50%124 W · 124 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1024…9651backed Bucks	59c	69.29$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x357a…85a7backed Bucks	76c	57$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.89	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	70cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Thunder	44c	55.3$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.33	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…ecb7backed Bucks	60c	53.68$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.47	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Bucks	55c	49.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Thunder	46c	49$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	628	44.9%282 W · 346 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	45c	49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Thunder	44c	45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.58	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Thunder	33c	40.93$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5320…f3b2backed Thunder	40c	38.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Thunder	42c	34.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	456	53.5%244 W · 212 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Bucks	59c	33.9$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.9	225	56.9%128 W · 97 L	+12.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Thunder	47c	33.7$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3938…c6cbbacked Bucks	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	99	60.6%60 W · 39 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Bucks	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-7.4wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11a5…997dbacked Bucks	56c	31.79$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.99	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6931…89cabacked Bucks	63c	31.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Bucks	56c	31.09$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	134	56.7%76 W · 58 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a04…922cbacked Bucks	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Bucks	58c	27.86$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bucks	69c	26.16$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.05	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Bucks	60c	24.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.88	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7943…29b4backed Thunder	43c	24.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Bucks	71c	22.25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.5	180	60.6%109 W · 71 L	+11.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Thunder	48c	22.06$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Bucks	55c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	379	59.4%225 W · 154 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2800…c9d2backed Bucks	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Bucks	55c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.1	181	57.5%104 W · 77 L	+21.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Bucks	58c	19.6$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.28	293	51.9%152 W · 141 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Bucks won
AJ Green: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Aaron Wiggins: Points O/U 17.5No won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Bucks vs. ThunderBucks won
Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Bucks vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Under won
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cason Wallace: Points O/U 12.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Jaylin Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jericho Sims: Points O/U 5.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Myles Turner: Points O/U 12.5No won
Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Bucks won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event