TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5320…f3b2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
363
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT13040%52 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.81
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.53
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.32
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$38.59
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.82
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.38
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$38.14
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.91
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+383.9%+$48.3
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+140%+$262.5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.29
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.59
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+204.6%+$227.93
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.33
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+525%+$77.04
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$67.1
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$116.52
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+95.5%+$81.88
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$269.23
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT4436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.27
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.91
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.77
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+134.5%+$18.47
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Spread: Magic (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.29
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.32
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.6%+$583.93
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$178
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$198.5
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$20.66
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.93
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$27.3
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$22.88
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$97.52
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+251.7%+$109.65
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.96
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$167.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+159.4%+$363.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$99.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.36
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.24
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$75.46
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+334.8%+$50.22
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62.45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+143.9%+$41.4
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$166.04
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 3 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12.03
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$19.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$54.63
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$22.38
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT3112.9%4 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.09
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$57.64
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$73.29
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$194.18
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$96.23
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$90.03
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+802.7%+$1,289.53
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$154.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96.11
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$56.47
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$25.23
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.71
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$31.39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+1,594.9%+$318.98
Will Elon tweet between 480 and 509 times August 29–September 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.65
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.43
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.97
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.56
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$526.75
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+317.8%+$1,687.97
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2015%3 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-60.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Predators vs. Capitalsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.51
Red Wings vs. Utahbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Penguins vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$91.64
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.55
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.32
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$11.48
Blue Jackets vs. Ducksbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Kraken vs. Utahbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.59
Senators vs. Kingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Stars vs. Flamesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$87.89
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+354.5%+$39
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15.92
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$187.54
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.3
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$12.4
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-84.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.73
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.79
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$95
US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$284.81
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$123.3
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$180
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Israel strike on Iran on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 12 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.73
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$45.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$35.84
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$12.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or higher on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.06
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$27.48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$26.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on October 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 11 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$157.99
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+81.4%+$90.86
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$355.11
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.38
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.26
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+46.1%+$150.6
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+156.4%+$51.99
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+210.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.99
Guardians vs. Cubsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$32.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+98.7%+$34.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovakia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.