CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e5fa67dd3ff2261aa10201fd4bc4d9ef21f2fc949eb2630224b6c96dd72c20a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Team Falcons, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 31c | 10,388$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 10,025$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.99 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 7,453$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 6,457$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.46 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons | 30c | 6,406$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.39 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 5,434$3,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.25 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 5,278$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.3 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Team Falcons | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Falcons | 32c | 4,928$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.1 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,900$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.99 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 4,760$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.3 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,997$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.94 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,954$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.79 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons | 36c | 2,759$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.72 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd87…ac38backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 2,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.52 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,500$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.98 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 2,213$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.42 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Falcons | 30c | 2,160$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.36 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…5dabbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,968$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.98 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.17 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,444$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.46 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,363$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 1,185$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.85 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,180$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,000$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.44 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 993.18$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.18 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons | 26c | 988.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.38 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 888.66$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4db4backed Team Falcons | 13c | 796.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Team Falcons | 10c | 690$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Team Falcons | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 32.4%47 W · 98 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…6333backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 640.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 627.35$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.13 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 577.66$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Team Falcons | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…6f97backed Team Falcons | 24c | 551.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 505$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 489.88$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.09 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 441.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 423.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 419.01$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 386.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 378.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Falcons | 28c | 361.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…046abacked Team Falcons | 25c | 352.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 351.28$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.69 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 346.66$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 342.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 333$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Team Falcons | 27c | 329.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Falcons | 39c | 313$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Falcons | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Falcons | 35c | 303.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed Team Falcons | 64c | 280.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 269.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora Gaming | 35c | 264.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…eb6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 262.02$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 232$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 225.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 222.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed Team Falcons | 46c | 216.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Falcons | 7c | 200.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Team Falcons | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Aurora Gaming | 51c | 196.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…bdc6backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 192.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…0cc9backed Team Falcons | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 172.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Team Falcons | 49c | 165.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Team Falcons | 23c | 164.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 154.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 152.58$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 149.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.48 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…6b82backed Team Falcons | 26c | 148.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Team Falcons | 56c | 145.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Team Falcons | 54c | 143.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Team Falcons | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Team Falcons | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Team Falcons | 50c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa68a…681cbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 123.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…d2fdbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 121.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 116.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Team Falcons | 53c | 113.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Team Falcons | 23c | 113.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons | 10c | 110.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 110.01$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed2…be9cbacked Team Falcons | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5541…f1e3backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 104.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Team Falcons | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Team Falcons | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…92cfbacked Team Falcons | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Team Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.