TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f7b…0cc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST7944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$143.57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$62.86
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+55.4%+$27.72
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$37.13
Dota 2: Aurora vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$34.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Slam Play-Inbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.69
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+60.1%+$120.28
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+83.6%+$250.94
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$225.53
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100.25
Dota 2: OG vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$264.44
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,364Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,364.22
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs REKONIX (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25.2%+$234.83
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$673.69
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST6755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$313.05
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$99.25
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+58.7%+$722.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$507.88
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+90.5%+$361.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.4%+$88.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+34.1%+$59.54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$157.89
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+55.4%+$221.76
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105.04
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+50%+$288.53
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.29
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$168.75
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$246.27
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.3%+$121.28
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$141.32
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+31.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.