TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof OG, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84e6…eb7fbacked Tundra Esports0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports60c9,634$5,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,753.4534146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked Tundra Esports58c8,734$5,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,032.376150.8%31 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked OG42c7,063$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.679245.7%42 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed Tundra Esports1c6,666$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88210%0 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports60c6,100$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66019147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed OG42c5,472$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,174.386647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed OG40c5,100$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06010445.2%47 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked OG40c4,849$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.7217444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cd…4dd1backed OG76c3,845$2,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.432556%14 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Tundra Esports60c3,355$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005149%25 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports14c3,082$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.3480443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked OG45c2,887$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.0939660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports30c2,691$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.021,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed OG54c2,500$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14014253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed OG75c2,309$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.0366662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2905…6255backed OG42c2,270$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.073360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed OG41c2,230$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.6264744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG42c1,756$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.2856848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f62…14f1backed Tundra Esports59c1,653$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked OG42c1,637$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.215839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e8…b8f7backed Tundra Esports70c1,584$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.833461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9846535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22ca…3283backed Tundra Esports4c1,451$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.491030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed OG40c1,400$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed OG38c1,300$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.989345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports26c1,230$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.941,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports51c1,226$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.3655157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked OG42c1,222$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.6118053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports58c1,214$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.8757455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d81…294abacked Tundra Esports58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Tundra Esports58c1,200$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.41457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Tundra Esports58c1,159$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.697944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Tundra Esports18c1,151$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.5411052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tundra Esports3c1,063$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.814121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52fe…c258backed Tundra Esports2c1,047$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports42c1,044$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.061,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…3e24backed Tundra Esports2c1,041$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Tundra Esports46c1,009$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5325444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Tundra Esports58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked OG43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Tundra Esports60c927.6$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.566460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Tundra Esports55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked OG48c859.56$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.034533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Tundra Esports3c809.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0414940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Tundra Esports58c799.97$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.983354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports67c748.5$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed OG43c697.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.673040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tundra Esports26c667.59$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.991,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Tundra Esports28c657.14$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18791356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Tundra Esports14c649.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.579343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tundra Esports8c595.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0916835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Tundra Esports53c568$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.043033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked OG74c514.49$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.057562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9d80…7a4bbacked Tundra Esports7c509.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.753745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Tundra Esports10c500.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505450%27 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x871e…6566backed OG80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+52.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Tundra Esports56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2808543.5%37 W · 48 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed OG45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2758554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed OG38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.199750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports30c496.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14947660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2d…77b4backed OG42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.194757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed OG39c413.2$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.0542650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Tundra Esports40c400$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.758648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0db6…e1babacked OG20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked OG50c394.66$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3318156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x479b…7235backed Tundra Esports59c367.95$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.094045%18 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Tundra Esports22c343.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2623546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed OG40c335$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20149133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Tundra Esports60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017251.2%88 W · 84 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Tundra Esports47c319.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2358152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed OG59c316.83$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8116058.8%94 W · 66 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG47c304.29$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.732,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Tundra Esports10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Tundra Esports34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10287645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Tundra Esports32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed Tundra Esports53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d71…3b2cbacked Tundra Esports58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ec…875cbacked OG40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports60c296.92$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1512661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2e…439cbacked OG62c294.76$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.082737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed OG72c288.13$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6828341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b47…25d3backed Tundra Esports57c273.17$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.716334.9%22 W · 41 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6119…9ae6backed Tundra Esports9c270.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked OG76c265$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4521062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed OG50c256.48$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0911348.7%55 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG71c252$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.082,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed OG40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15059556.6%337 W · 258 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Tundra Esports62c247.85$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked OG40c239.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.822845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x101f…b386backed Tundra Esports7c221.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5132154.8%176 W · 145 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb878…e3e2backed Tundra Esports10c210$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f8…cfaabacked OG48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed OG49c205.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2224045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Tundra Esports8c202$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3824026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked OG20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+382%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d86…ea87backed OG46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0735…4d2cbacked OG20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+246.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc6d…f1c8backed OG41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1192748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.