TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0db6…e1ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.28per pick28cpaid+125.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+281.3%+$165.95
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+340.1%+$506.01
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+243.6%+$100.65
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$119
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.5
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+204.6%+$80.6
LoL: SK Gaming vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+846.6%+$357.74
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: French Flair vs Skillcamp Esport (BO1) - LFL Invitational Souper Groupbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.97
LoL: ⁠Ethereal Enigmas vs Meavedron - Game 2 Winnerbacked ⁠Ethereal Enigmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.1%+$60
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+208.8%+$167.5
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$89
LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 Groupbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+127.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.