TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$656,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$710,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $656,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 609 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69ea…15cdbacked No15c25,846$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+204.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40d9…d472backed Yes80c24,327$19,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes79c15,666$12,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.518164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed No16c14,000$2,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.7547348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…b61fbacked No22c13,271$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3e…235cbacked No20c12,519$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…c753backed No16c11,563$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked No18c10,633$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9002740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe800…50debacked No28c9,421$2,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,630.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked No14c9,299$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.91233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No15c9,025$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.261154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2008…7c40backed No23c8,856$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No10c8,325$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.247736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec48…0bd6backed Yes76c7,631$5,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.41475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a78…4b11backed No23c7,257$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3c…0427backed No19c7,040$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed No12c6,714$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.3550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda47…f40abacked Yes76c6,290$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.152065%13 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bc…c822backed No30c6,257$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.04333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…7f87backed No16c6,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2b…2b73backed No18c5,876$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf547…6c2dbacked No23c5,021$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…6289backed No15c4,443$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes76c4,300$3,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No13c4,185$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.153023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0807…443abacked No22c4,154$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes78c4,105$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.9211445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f7…7996backed No19c3,766$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Yes80c3,543$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No20c3,534$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.2736826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d83…d1dabacked No19c3,507$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.211241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes79c3,468$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.932437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c3…6ec8backed No26c3,405$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked No19c3,200$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.818441.7%35 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5236…ab18backed No16c3,118$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes80c3,111$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff0f…7efcbacked No19c3,065$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…e3f4backed No14c2,981$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…a60abacked No18c2,880$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf501…d88abacked No19c2,845$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked No9c2,750$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.131625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78a…2f5cbacked No20c2,667$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4932…69c6backed No23c2,639$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fab…9a71backed No22c2,528$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…b777backed No20c2,498$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed No26c2,349$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6556…26d6backed No19c2,349$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No15c2,151$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.188047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed No12c2,121$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6041…2bafbacked No19c2,117$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad0…a9d8backed No28c2,100$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.113040%12 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed No20c2,090$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42840%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…af3cbacked No19c2,026$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab8…107fbacked No25c2,013$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked No16c1,999$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.881520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes80c1,933$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.63655.6%20 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd20…f08fbacked No14c1,928$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-64%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c2…1d29backed No13c1,919$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d14…f8bdbacked No16c1,912$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140b…d5c3backed No17c1,852$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed No13c1,800$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c73…79e9backed No17c1,780$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab7b…f350backed No23c1,770$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…230abacked No17c1,759$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42cb…c8b7backed No16c1,739$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…594cbacked No20c1,728$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bd3…d9c4backed No17c1,717$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a73…c046backed No9c1,694$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x388a…9a69backed No12c1,660$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…aca1backed No31c1,601$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe2…b65dbacked No27c1,584$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No19c1,568$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x270e…2930backed No26c1,562$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked No13c1,549$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…727bbacked No13c1,490$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf29…77d1backed No17c1,461$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc516…3f8bbacked No16c1,449$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.95633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+131.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes77c1,415$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.346764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked No15c1,367$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41fc…0453backed No16c1,350$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked No17c1,347$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.02812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e4…22cbbacked No19c1,318$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf386…d19dbacked No21c1,307$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27760%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28af…c247backed No13c1,288$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed No1c1,257$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.145750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3445backed No19c1,256$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0f…be83backed No18c1,198$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056f…e487backed No22c1,152$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25970%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71d1…c157backed No18c1,124$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfb…86bcbacked No18c1,106$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes79c1,104$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd19…a8ffbacked No18c1,096$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde81…c5dbbacked No22c1,075$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e1…49e7backed No14c1,062$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e42…ff3cbacked No19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x573e…2c56backed No19c1,049$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…7cbebacked No25c1,038$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.891323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5242…8a89backed No20c1,029$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…a18bbacked No19c1,029$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.