TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd547…8a9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20,593Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+209.1%+$43,057.65
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$529.36
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,900
Spread: Chiefs (-10.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,226.55
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$368
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+398.5%+$989.62
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
49ers vs. Texansbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$299
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$475
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$489
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Falcons vs. 49ers: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,339Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,339.2
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+87.1%+$870.63
Raiders vs. Chiefs: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$392.86
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 35.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$270.83
Dolphins vs. Browns: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$499
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+145.2%+$726.53
Suns vs. Nuggetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$903.06
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+39.8%+$1,195.28
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$177.27
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$75
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Nets vs. Hornetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,400
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$99.17
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Arizona Statebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+67.1%+$671.4
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Stanford vs. Miamibacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
TCU vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+232.7%+$1,163.7
Missouri vs. Auburnbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$123.13
USC vs. Notre Damebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25%+$62.5
Pittsburgh vs. Syracusebacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLAbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$21
Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLA: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Georgia State vs. Georgia Southernbacked Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+49.2%+$147.5
Penn State vs. Iowabacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.76
Washington State vs. Virginiabacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,537Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,537.5
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
UConn vs. Boston Collegebacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.9%+$250.93
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+32.8%+$327.56
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$428
Ducks vs. Lightningbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Blue Jackets vs. Starsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$412.18
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$667.74
Bruins vs. Utahbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$125.89
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$115.43
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$143.59
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+29.4%+$146.99
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Kraken vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$144.62
Avalanche vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Jets vs. Flyersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$182.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+50%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+79.1%+$791.07
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$1,840.91
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$263.98
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fiorot vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Fiorot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
Frevola vs. Nelsonbacked Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+84.7%+$1,270.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Como win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+87%+$261.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+150%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Viborg FF win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+400%+$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,413.86
Pan Pacific Open: McCartney Kessler vs Linda Noskovabacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,025
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+28%+$685.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$2,325
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$990
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.