College Football · resolved market
Washington State vs. Virginia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f07a83f6e6043cc5b707feeea9aab9324b747767a6ecb7de85d806f11222804
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virginiaof Washington State, Virginia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Washington State | 41c | 54,177$22,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,111.04 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Virginia | 46c | 22,509$10,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,076.58 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Washington State | 13c | 18,821$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.76 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Washington State | 13c | 17,247$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.11 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Washington State | 13c | 15,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Washington State | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Virginia | 49c | 9,975$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.15 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Virginia | 62c | 5,728$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.74 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Washington State | 60c | 5,237$3,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,141.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Washington State | 46c | 4,426$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virginia | 50c | 4,385$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.01 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Washington State | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Virginia | 40c | 3,559$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.86 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Washington State | 62c | 2,464$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Washington State | 12c | 2,407$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Washington State | 63c | 2,272$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Virginia | 58c | 1,982$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.2 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Virginia | 34c | 1,975$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Washington State | 57c | 1,769$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…73c6backed Washington State | 14c | 1,617$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Washington State | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Washington State | 61c | 1,315$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.51 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…825cbacked Washington State | 60c | 1,100$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a5…fe70backed Washington State | 74c | 998.61$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Virginia | 56c | 921.02$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.71 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virginia | 53c | 859.39$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.14 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington State | 13c | 729$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Virginia | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Washington State | 57c | 682.76$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.17 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Washington State | 71c | 632.01$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed Washington State | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Virginia | 48c | 613.95$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Virginia | 77c | 600$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Washington State | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington State | 7c | 592.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Virginia | 38c | 583.18$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.9 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Washington State | 27c | 500.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Virginia | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Washington State | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…05efbacked Washington State | 41c | 500$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Washington State | 2c | 495$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Virginia | 41c | 396$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.79 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Washington State | 78c | 350.53$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Washington State | 12c | 315.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Virginia | 35c | 306.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.23 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Washington State | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Washington State | 12c | 282.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Virginia | 36c | 275.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Virginia | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Virginia | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Washington State | 11c | 225$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Washington State | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Virginia | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Washington State | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Washington State | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Washington State | 12c | 138$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b5…cb74backed Washington State | 59c | 136.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cc…18cebacked Washington State | 35c | 129.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Washington State | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Washington State | 50c | 99.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Washington State | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Washington State | 42c | 89.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f8…e156backed Washington State | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Virginia | 50c | 79.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Virginia | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…3851backed Virginia | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Washington State | 49c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Virginia | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Virginia | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Virginia | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e16…52d2backed Washington State | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +100%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…ee9fbacked Virginia | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Washington State | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…eb98backed Washington State | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…d0dfbacked Washington State | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Washington State | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…929bbacked Washington State | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed Washington State | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Virginia | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Washington State | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…edf8backed Washington State | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington State vs. Virginiathis page
- O/U 56.5Under won
- Spread: Virginia (-16.5)Washington State won
- Spread: Virginia (-17.5)Washington State won
- Washington State vs. Virginia: O/U 55.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.