TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedf4…00fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
183
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST3917.9%7 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$84.93
Troy vs. James Madisonbacked Troy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$33.88
UCF vs. BYUbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.2
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$17.44
UCLA vs. Ohio Statebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$24.07
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Washingtonbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$49.53
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indianabacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$22.03
Minnesota vs. Oregonbacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27.96
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Washington vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+376.2%+$60.04
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.34
Ohio State vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$13.95
Indiana vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$35.4
Notre Dame vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.63
Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.5
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.84
Texas A&M vs. LSUbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregonbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.97
Stanford vs. Miamibacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Alabama vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.87
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$69.93
Syracuse vs. Georgia Techbacked Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.38
UCLA vs. Indianabacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.94
Tennessee vs. Alabamabacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.6
USC vs. Notre Damebacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.68
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST3033.3%10 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Brentford win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+194.1%+$59.4
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+129.9%+$20.34
Will Wolves win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12.32
Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$61.56
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.7
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25.84
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.77
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will West Ham win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+424.2%+$262.19
Will Liverpool vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.68
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.56
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$100.01
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+357.6%+$200.81
Will Chelsea vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$219.24
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.98
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+150%+$80.4
Will Fulham win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.2
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$50.02
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$100.1
Will Everton win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.95
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.84
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$15.84
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Jets vs. Patriotsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$13.35
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.96
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+426.3%+$71.28
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.56
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.38
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+194.8%+$99.11
Browns vs. Steelersbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.89
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.68
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Raiders vs. Coltsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.11
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.69
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$39.96
Saints vs. Billsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.88
Browns vs. Lionsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Titans vs. Texansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.75
Browns vs. Ravensbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.57
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Japan (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.34
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$23.56
LoL: Japan vs T1 (BO1)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.06
LoL: Vietnam vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.35
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs KT Rolster (BO1)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+158.9%+$40.51
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA (BO1)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.13
LoL: Gen.G vs Vietnam (BO1)backed Vietnam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+354.5%+$60.04
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$32.11
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.58
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$141.04
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.95
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 (BO3)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.59
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.33
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.61
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 3)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.7
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+266.5%+$61.08
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28.41
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 3)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15.37
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+156.4%+$20.13
New Zealand T20 Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+80.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+124.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+222.6%+$40.02
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+174.9%+$20.36
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+215.3%+$60.09
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$14.56
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$51.48
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$72.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+184.3%+$50.67
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.8
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+132.6%+$30.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$26.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT ads by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$56.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Who will win Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua?backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.