College Football · resolved market
Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x625b7ac27fd13e0fa5405948a3cb67dcaf8a62c7bbbbd65f0adbbc6208bf955c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 99,293$5,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,957.58 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Maryland Terrapins | 5c | 44,955$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.64 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maryland Terrapins | 11c | 20,393$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.25 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maryland Terrapins | 5c | 19,773$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.25 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 9,077$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.37 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 9,059$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 7,420$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.11 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Maryland Terrapins | 1c | 2,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maryland Terrapins | 5c | 1,988$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 1,455$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 1,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 1,279$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maryland Terrapins | 5c | 1,278$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 1,174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 1,014$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 1,005$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 999.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 899.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…7f41backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 835.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 717$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 715$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 660$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 336.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 313.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 286$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…d6f2backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 265$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…bb70backed Maryland Terrapins | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Maryland Terrapins | 10c | 198.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…cef7backed Maryland Terrapins | 7c | 184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…abccbacked Maryland Terrapins | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…b027backed Maryland Terrapins | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Maryland Terrapins | 19c | 101.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 11c | 99.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fd…351fbacked Maryland Terrapins | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapinsthis page
- 1H Spread: Indiana (-11.5)Indiana won
- Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapins: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-21.5)Indiana won
- Spread: Indiana (-22.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.