TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69e9…dee1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$365.42
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.74
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,700
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,350
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19,621Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.9%+$7,036.51
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6,250
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$5,699.94
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,610Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$5,610.4
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$1,343.81
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13,320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5,179.82
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$8,892.72
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,499.87
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$10,833.33
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+44%+$6,597.57
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$4,600
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27,314Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16,041.43
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15,840Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8,160
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,599.99
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$760
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+156.4%+$1,220
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$550
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST2748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+213.9%+$4,958.59
Spread: Texas A&M (-7.5)backed Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$1,120
California vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,309Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$7,308.75
Iowa State vs. TCUbacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+178.5%+$1,784.54
Ohio State vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Indiana vs. Penn State: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$980
Tulane vs. Memphisbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+25%+$1,281.59
Houston vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$1,920
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)backed Ball State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$900
Miami (OH) vs. Ohiobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+151.3%+$1,513.27
Cincinnati vs. Utahbacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$700
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$700
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$240.24
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$694.14
Notre Dame vs. Boston Collegebacked Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Oklahoma State vs. Kansasbacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
West Virginia vs. Houstonbacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$1,880.95
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+226.5%+$1,132.73
Penn State vs. Ohio Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Delaware Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$638.33
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$336.43
South Carolina vs. LSUbacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$508.23
Spread: Texas (-2.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$337
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,004.51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,564.62
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,820.99
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,822.17
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$4,665
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,473.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,699.96
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$9,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,746.2
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,750Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,750
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,091Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,090.88
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,059Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,713.36
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,800
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$980
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,680
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$57
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$846Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$880.43
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,265
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$851Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$850.9
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$7,000
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,806.13
Spread: Broncos (-8.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$2,600
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,690Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25.1%+$927.96
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$1,050
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+177.8%+$888.89
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,896Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.1%+$959.7
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,391.84
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,646.82
Spread: Chargers (-3.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,497.6
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,500
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$691.39
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$716Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$716.21
Bengals vs. Packersbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.3
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.9
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.78
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Eagles vs. Giantsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
All 18 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-67.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,047Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$10,019.16
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,919.6
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.5
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11,607.41
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24,858.63
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,250
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,700
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,889.99
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
George Mason Patriots vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+57.3%+$1,433.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+84%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+141.2%+$7,060.48
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+134%+$1,339.78
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,000
Rolex Paris Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Cameron Norriebacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,120
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$216
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$427.85
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Caty McNallybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,824Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+107.3%+$1,958.01
Japan Women's Open: Elise Mertens vs Tereza Valentovabacked Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$723.51
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid+59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$345.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$1,512.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,531.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+2,531.6%+$2,531.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$549.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.