College Football · resolved market
Iowa State vs. TCU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16e4cf046a2c79b9c87303f7d210ff19bce251d0843501cdb1dac8d29f4e50c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stateof Iowa State, TCU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TCU | 28c | 31,766$8,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,994.27 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked TCU | 57c | 24,034$13,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,768.41 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Iowa State | 23c | 18,225$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,991.95 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Iowa State | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed TCU | 42c | 12,004$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.41 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed TCU | 72c | 9,102$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.43 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU | 72c | 8,576$6,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,143.44 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed TCU | 71c | 8,422$5,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,969.89 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Iowa State | 56c | 8,205$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.27 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed TCU | 73c | 7,701$5,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,621.66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa State | 27c | 7,377$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.21 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa State | 27c | 7,112$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,180.14 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TCU | 57c | 6,537$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.36 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa State | 19c | 4,493$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.1 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked TCU | 56c | 4,131$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.2 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Iowa State | 29c | 3,900$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed TCU | 62c | 3,536$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked TCU | 72c | 2,860$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.57 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Iowa State | 36c | 2,785$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.54 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Iowa State | 33c | 2,024$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.69 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed TCU | 72c | 2,023$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.35 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State | 47c | 1,982$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.55 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Iowa State | 27c | 1,935$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.55 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Iowa State | 26c | 1,855$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.93 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Iowa State | 30c | 1,800$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.01 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed TCU | 77c | 1,532$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.66 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked TCU | 70c | 1,402$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.43 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559f…cd83backed Iowa State | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…eb4abacked TCU | 72c | 1,379$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa State | 33c | 1,262$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.01 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Iowa State | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked TCU | 67c | 1,191$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.97 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Iowa State | 19c | 1,162$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.68 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TCU | 31c | 1,143$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.74 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked TCU | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked TCU | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU | 57c | 999.88$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.93 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa State | 28c | 883.6$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.16 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…812fbacked Iowa State | 28c | 849.22$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed TCU | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Iowa State | 27c | 699.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.98 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Iowa State | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed TCU | 77c | 646.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TCU | 36c | 630$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…46cfbacked TCU | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Iowa State | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Iowa State | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked TCU | 14c | 480$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed TCU | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e5…d41fbacked Iowa State | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Iowa State | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Iowa State | 27c | 313.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.62 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TCU | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State | 32c | 290.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.68 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Iowa State | 49c | 200.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed TCU | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Iowa State | 27c | 199.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Iowa State | 27c | 194.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Iowa State | 27c | 194.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed TCU | 72c | 194$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Iowa State | 30c | 192$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa State | 69c | 177.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Iowa State | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed TCU | 50c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked TCU | 8c | 156.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked TCU | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Iowa State | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Iowa State | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Iowa State | 27c | 142.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Iowa State | 29c | 140.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…e72bbacked TCU | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Iowa State | 19c | 140$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed TCU | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked TCU | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Iowa State | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked TCU | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed TCU | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Iowa State | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Iowa State | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed TCU | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3498…1533backed Iowa State | 12c | 99.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…0c51backed TCU | 73c | 99.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked TCU | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…9569backed Iowa State | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed TCU | 51c | 80.41$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed TCU | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Iowa State | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Iowa State | 27c | 74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TCU | 68c | 69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd563…9280backed TCU | 71c | 65.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Iowa State | 27c | 59.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed TCU | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2601…5d06backed TCU | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67f…0803backed TCU | 73c | 50.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Iowa State | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…7450backed TCU | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…b1b7backed Iowa State | 28c | 49.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed TCU | 70c | 48.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed TCU | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a6…3e3ebacked Iowa State | 30c | 41.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State vs. TCUthis page
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: TCU (-6.5)Iowa State won
- Spread: TCU (-7.5)Iowa State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.