TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9005…d988

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-84.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$405.75
Pacers vs. Warriorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$380
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$190
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+157.7%+$305.95
Bulls vs. Cavaliersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20.48
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$157.5
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$342.07
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$208.75
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$198
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid-21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$319.51
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$751.88
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Open de Moselle: Vitaliy Sachko vs Learner Tienbacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$270
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+53.8%+$175
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$420.24
Open de Moselle: Clement Tabur vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+122.2%+$192.5
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+53.8%+$161.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$494.25
Kings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$82.3
Wild vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$173.72
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$87.5
Senators vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+257.6%+$446.6
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$360
Jaguars vs. Texansbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$164.7
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$192
Bills vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+376.2%+$553
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$125
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Watford FC vs. Bristol City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+94.2%+$194
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lecce win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$199.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$199.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.