Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf142e076d3c8d4fd613e85565358d05a4ff70fdb634500ef76f77bf6f69f7a96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $532,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $559,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $532,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 111,170$84,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,751.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Minaur | 24c | 76,105$18,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,102.85 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Minaur | 13c | 43,271$5,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,795.94 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Minaur | 22c | 32,136$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Minaur | 22c | 30,291$6,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,684.13 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minaur | 15c | 25,649$3,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 23,383$17,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.35 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 16,145$12,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,551.81 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Minaur | 19c | 13,588$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,581.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Minaur | 18c | 11,951$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.43 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Minaur | 0c | 11,141$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Minaur | 26c | 9,958$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.05 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minaur | 20c | 9,762$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Minaur | 17c | 9,376$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Minaur | 17c | 7,613$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.17 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Minaur | 18c | 7,118$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.82 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…ed90backed Alcaraz | 77c | 5,808$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.31 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alcaraz | 74c | 5,005$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…d988backed Minaur | 6c | 5,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Minaur | 9c | 4,066$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.08 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Alcaraz | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.37 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Minaur | 16c | 3,637$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.26 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Minaur | 31c | 3,596$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.77 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Minaur | 19c | 3,500$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minaur | 14c | 2,626$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.19 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Minaur | 14c | 2,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Minaur | 9c | 2,437$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Minaur | 18c | 2,366$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.18 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…8e79backed Minaur | 3c | 2,366$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Alcaraz | 75c | 2,265$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Minaur | 21c | 2,205$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.61 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Minaur | 18c | 1,888$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.9 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…9338backed Minaur | 11c | 1,774$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…d765backed Minaur | 2c | 1,664$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Minaur | 21c | 1,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked Alcaraz | 76c | 1,308$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Minaur | 14c | 1,303$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Minaur | 39c | 1,233$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.95 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Minaur | 11c | 1,151$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Minaur | 21c | 1,091$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.18 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Minaur | 19c | 1,015$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Alcaraz | 75c | 974.99$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…0444backed Minaur | 12c | 944.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3047backed Minaur | 21c | 904.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Minaur | 16c | 865$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Alcaraz | 60c | 826.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.69 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Minaur | 18c | 748.22$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.72 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…8f4ebacked Minaur | 14c | 728.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Minaur | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…4ee7backed Alcaraz | 74c | 600$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Minaur | 8c | 599.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…8c05backed Minaur | 13c | 586.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Minaur | 18c | 571.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Minaur | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Minaur | 15c | 526.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…ba65backed Minaur | 19c | 510.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Minaur | 17c | 499$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Minaur | 21c | 462.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed Minaur | 26c | 385.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Minaur | 19c | 381.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d1c7backed Minaur | 14c | 360.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Minaur | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Minaur | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6786backed Alcaraz | 79c | 353.85$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Minaur | 17c | 340.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Minaur | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…8d20backed Minaur | 12c | 332.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Alcaraz | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed Alcaraz | 79c | 317.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Alcaraz | 80c | 304$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Alcaraz | 70c | 302$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Minaur | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Minaur | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Minaur | 15c | 268.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…3202backed Minaur | 17c | 267.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…3bc8backed Alcaraz | 80c | 250.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Alcaraz | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Alcaraz | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Minaur | 19c | 244.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa207…bcdcbacked Alcaraz | 78c | 242.95$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Minaur | 16c | 223.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…4f7cbacked Minaur | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Alcaraz | 78c | 205.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…3608backed Minaur | 42c | 195.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…ba12backed Alcaraz | 80c | 190$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc225…4e1ebacked Minaur | 14c | 164.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Alcaraz | 79c | 162$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Minaur | 31c | 160.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Alcaraz | 79c | 152.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Minaur | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Minaur | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Minaur | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Minaur | 24c | 136.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked Minaur | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Alcaraz | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 178 | 67.4%120 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…62b1backed Alcaraz | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…6ec9backed Alcaraz | 79c | 126.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Alcaraz | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2ab4backed Minaur | 19c | 121.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.