TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x766b…e4ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$635.5
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,097.23
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333.33
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+334.8%+$334.78
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Hawksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$362.07
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$125
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Trail Blazers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+422.2%+$135.09
Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25.5%+$25.5
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$105.11
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$132.56
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$533.23
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$934.77
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,100
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+62.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$651.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+30.8%+$307.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.