Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd966b3c2f9102c0e87883594e5523bcb83609d1f64f44f33010927060e0f3257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,142,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,258,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,142,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked No | 1c | 200,087$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…7ff1backed No | 0c | 103,063$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…0eb9backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…4d77backed No | 0c | 87,300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…f622backed No | 0c | 79,195$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…1698backed No | 0c | 61,074$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…30d3backed No | 0c | 50,460$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed No | 0c | 49,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…3715backed No | 0c | 47,188$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…c934backed No | 0c | 42,366$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…a83dbacked No | 0c | 33,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…d52abacked No | 0c | 31,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…6b94backed No | 1c | 29,847$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…7300backed No | 1c | 26,400$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee3…3c83backed No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 16c | 20,586$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.54 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…bde6backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…7ab1backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…e8eabacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8700…bdbcbacked No | 0c | 19,070$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…17a8backed No | 0c | 18,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…6c88backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 1c | 13,533$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc70…3e5cbacked No | 0c | 13,500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…d1ddbacked No | 0c | 13,082$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…3105backed No | 1c | 12,589$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…1f09backed No | 0c | 12,363$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…1365backed No | 0c | 12,340$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…3ae0backed No | 0c | 12,320$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked No | 0c | 11,387$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…5b6fbacked No | 1c | 11,015$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…b658backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…a97abacked No | 0c | 10,687$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…8a6cbacked No | 0c | 10,515$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…fc4dbacked No | 0c | 10,021$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…0cb4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…35c1backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…1cb6backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1552…967dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…d832backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…51e2backed No | 0c | 9,447$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55e…0a13backed No | 0c | 9,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71aa…46e6backed No | 0c | 9,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…a220backed No | 0c | 7,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…434dbacked No | 0c | 7,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb055…659dbacked No | 0c | 7,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…3f35backed No | 0c | 6,999$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…85a7backed No | 0c | 6,960$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 47c | 6,892$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.01 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20bb…741bbacked No | 0c | 6,500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 12c | 5,985$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.49 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…52f1backed No | 30c | 5,756$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.95 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…c4c0backed No | 15c | 5,633$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…bcf2backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 27c | 5,000$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.55 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b62…e21dbacked No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…2abcbacked No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 20c | 4,841$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.17 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked No | 16c | 4,172$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 14c | 3,878$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.37 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…3acdbacked No | 1c | 3,854$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…a577backed No | 0c | 3,849$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 9c | 3,600$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.8 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 11c | 3,566$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.2 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 18c | 3,333$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.93 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 15c | 3,259$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.88 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 9c | 2,960$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.13 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 79c | 2,789$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.75 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…a74fbacked No | 11c | 2,730$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 8c | 2,657$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…c7bfbacked Yes | 80c | 2,514$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked No | 20c | 2,505$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked No | 0c | 2,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6217…53d8backed No | 1c | 2,429$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 9c | 2,365$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 75c | 2,317$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.81 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…dbaabacked No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ae…c4c8backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…0049backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a2…0daabacked No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 1c | 1,985$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 18c | 1,880$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.19 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…f471backed No | 18c | 1,847$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x766b…e4ffbacked No | 61c | 1,789$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe67d…8180backed No | 3c | 1,701$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 1,643$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed No | 7c | 1,490$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 14c | 1,395$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Yes | 75c | 1,150$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked No | 32c | 1,148$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.02 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…943bbacked No | 2c | 1,123$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 1,073$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…916cbacked No | 3c | 1,071$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,064$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.