TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d3e…eec6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 57 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST254%1 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-93.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.53
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.67
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.52
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.39
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$27.03
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.75
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.64
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + JA21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.76
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.81
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.78
Will Ahmed Aboutaleb become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$98.18
Will Nicolien van Vroonhoven-Kok become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52.06
Will Dick Schoof become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21.43
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$25.22
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.84
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$24.4
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + JA21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,275Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+52.7%+$1,725
Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 25 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66,315.72
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20,699Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$8,559.89
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,949.72
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,313.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,019.93
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,162.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20,617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+38.2%+$7,882.9
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$1,000
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,749.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10,649.94
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+185.7%+$650
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $114k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$200
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$819Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$818.91
Will Solana reach $200 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$79.23
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$64.5
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+257.5%+$147.72
Will XRP reach $2.9 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,924.37
All 25 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29,392Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$14,766.68
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$7,958Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$5,048.66
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$148.97
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$462.97
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+25%+$500
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$1,220.31
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,508Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$433.26
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,975Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$525
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,500
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-70.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$9,894Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,893.9
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30,722Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.7%+$15,278.04
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,800
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,010
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,540Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+41.2%+$1,460
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.39
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.59
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$702.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+70.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$1,820
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$200
OpenAI browser by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,636Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+205.6%+$3,363.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.