Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa160175157af59a10b8b50ff8c922c781f45c72466a62754000a0f07999f2a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,447,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $730,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,447,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5170…a46bbacked Yes | 0c | 45,977$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…e773backed Yes | 0c | 40,842$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…3be0backed Yes | 0c | 40,492$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…90b5backed Yes | 0c | 39,737$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…6974backed Yes | 0c | 35,637$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed6…5bc0backed Yes | 0c | 32,342$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb6…ef52backed Yes | 0c | 28,182$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 22c | 28,000$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…7fe8backed Yes | 0c | 27,888$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…7cbebacked Yes | 0c | 27,608$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…db43backed Yes | 0c | 27,388$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…0552backed Yes | 0c | 27,288$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…e718backed Yes | 0c | 27,023$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0847…2522backed Yes | 0c | 26,788$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…5ff9backed Yes | 0c | 26,338$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…2884backed Yes | 27c | 25,863$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…c5e6backed Yes | 0c | 24,018$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed No | 73c | 23,995$17,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,478.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…3d53backed Yes | 0c | 23,817$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1597backed Yes | 0c | 23,817$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…8e2fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,688$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6aa…e182backed Yes | 0c | 23,642$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…d292backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed No | 72c | 19,899$14,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a9…7175backed Yes | 0c | 19,318$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked No | 73c | 18,716$13,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 65c | 17,973$11,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,293.87 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…0706backed Yes | 30c | 13,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 15c | 13,490$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf872…9b11backed Yes | 5c | 12,819$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25be…ddffbacked Yes | 0c | 11,740$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Yes | 26c | 11,005$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.91 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86d…d3aebacked Yes | 29c | 10,794$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 75c | 10,686$7,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.91 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…aa3abacked Yes | 29c | 9,750$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Yes | 27c | 8,832$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…2bf1backed Yes | 28c | 8,586$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 66c | 8,536$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.76 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 25c | 7,900$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…0d28backed Yes | 32c | 7,803$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…fdb5backed Yes | 27c | 7,595$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…7771backed Yes | 21c | 7,550$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed15…af1ebacked No | 70c | 6,900$4,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 74c | 6,822$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.57 | 173 | 52.6%91 W · 82 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa786…be6abacked No | 70c | 6,600$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 32c | 6,374$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.91 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked No | 74c | 6,119$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Yes | 29c | 6,101$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 73c | 5,535$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 74c | 5,455$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.39 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 26c | 5,212$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.96 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 34c | 5,199$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.72 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Yes | 31c | 4,342$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 35c | 4,290$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed Yes | 26c | 3,927$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.03 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,883$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 28c | 3,817$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.49 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 26c | 3,600$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 27c | 3,549$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.67 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Yes | 29c | 3,507$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 26c | 3,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…c6d6backed Yes | 17c | 3,400$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.5 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…8da4backed Yes | 32c | 3,327$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d7…b3c4backed No | 71c | 3,300$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…127cbacked No | 71c | 3,250$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…f793backed No | 71c | 3,200$2,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 25c | 3,125$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.4 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -65%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…8d5fbacked Yes | 27c | 3,013$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…212ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,000$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c95…4d15backed Yes | 27c | 2,784$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 21c | 2,774$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.62 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…621bbacked No | 75c | 2,752$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,663$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,565$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 32c | 2,544$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.30per pick | 36cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbae…13f8backed Yes | 23c | 2,471$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…88b7backed Yes | 28c | 2,470$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,250$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe966…0228backed Yes | 29c | 2,203$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 26c | 2,151$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.24 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,100$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed No | 75c | 2,048$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Yes | 29c | 2,032$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa968…aa45backed Yes | 23c | 1,979$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,943$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 73c | 1,776$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.24 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,672$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c080backed Yes | 30c | 1,647$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 34c | 1,589$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.33 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x455e…4f80backed Yes | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…624bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,562$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…4ec4backed Yes | 24c | 1,500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 40c | 1,499$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 68c | 1,486$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.33 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 31c | 1,450$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.02 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…7f78backed Yes | 27c | 1,445$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…12d1backed Yes | 29c | 1,368$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?this page
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Yes won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.