Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb679d8723bacaec0dcde7dcb7d776504cddc84faa4d3736a02056045085829d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 15c | 63,382$9,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,507.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 14c | 39,217$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.34 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 14c | 32,026$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.27 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 13c | 31,991$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.48 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 18c | 18,871$3,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.95 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 16c | 13,111$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.04 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 24c | 12,797$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,126.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 17c | 10,914$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…b776backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…e67ebacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 7c | 9,867$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.17 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 15c | 9,420$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.48 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 9c | 7,998$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.96 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 79c | 5,700$4,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.2 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23a2…5643backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 32c | 4,100$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Yes | 5c | 3,999$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.94 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 17c | 3,431$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,725$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 14c | 2,574$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.82 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…7346backed Yes | 20c | 2,222$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +188%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked Yes | 19c | 2,158$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.7 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 27c | 1,805$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 16c | 1,723$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,521$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 1,340$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f63…4114backed Yes | 1c | 1,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…fdc2backed Yes | 54c | 1,213$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,201$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 15c | 1,190$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…6f1abacked Yes | 15c | 1,109$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 13c | 1,011$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…3862backed Yes | 13c | 1,002$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +218.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…e908backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…8eb9backed Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 13c | 999.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 17c | 993.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 962.66$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 16c | 909.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 16c | 854.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 20c | 834.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.47 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2144…94abbacked Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9a…e376backed No | 80c | 738.66$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 12c | 737.84$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 13c | 612$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 17c | 590$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 542.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 43c | 400$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 4c | 366.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…935cbacked Yes | 16c | 321.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d7…026fbacked Yes | 16c | 285.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 13c | 261.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed Yes | 18c | 245.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Yes | 6c | 238.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 20c | 220.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 22c | 208.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8dc…4bffbacked Yes | 16c | 198.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 15c | 177.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked Yes | 16c | 129.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…a949backed Yes | 76c | 128.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…3effbacked Yes | 16c | 123.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…850fbacked Yes | 16c | 121.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…2637backed Yes | 19c | 118.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a02…413cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…1d4fbacked Yes | 16c | 114.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 111.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a9…1afcbacked Yes | 18c | 110.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…4048backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…fae9backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc163…5a1dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +149.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 22c | 95.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…57f5backed Yes | 20c | 75.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…c242backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 52c | 51.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…1350backed Yes | 48c | 21.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?this page
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Yes won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?No won
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.