TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc88…a949

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: AI, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category AI at 55 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.66
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$704.76
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$159.89
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$451
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$1,351.98
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$384.3
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.78
Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$451.74
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$375.5
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$107.02
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$57.82
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$21.03
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+56.2%+$72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.03
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$58.94
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+138.1%+$116
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on November 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$179.89
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or higher on November 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$57.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+91.2%+$36.35
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$36.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVDbacked D66 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+35.8%+$144.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.4%+$130.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$255.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$123
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio vs. Juventus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$152
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$98.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.