AI · resolved market
Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8134935a4426be6da24c6a9cabc661fc31c7ab48a37027bd18c300f18480710
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa117…a311backed No | 79c | 36,574$28,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,818.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked Yes | 23c | 24,196$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625.41 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 23c | 15,637$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.08 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed No | 76c | 13,046$9,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.85 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 8,743$5,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.52 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 27c | 7,497$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 33c | 7,310$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.57 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 18c | 6,531$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.03 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 17c | 6,500$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…9514backed Yes | 15c | 5,699$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed Yes | 20c | 5,083$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 4,883$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.26 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,762$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 70c | 4,220$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…a4a9backed No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed No | 70c | 3,675$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 21c | 3,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 2c | 3,033$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 23c | 2,900$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…3ca1backed No | 62c | 2,601$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.47 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 33c | 2,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed No | 72c | 2,142$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd2…f22bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,124$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes | 23c | 1,994$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 42c | 1,888$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 67c | 1,871$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,851$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.4 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed Yes | 18c | 1,711$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.45 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 32c | 1,648$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.71 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 64c | 1,629$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed No | 67c | 1,500$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.76 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d4…ae10backed No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed No | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 69c | 1,429$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 61c | 1,412$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.87 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…d078backed Yes | 40c | 1,355$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 70c | 1,337$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 59c | 1,322$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.22 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 21c | 1,302$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 36c | 1,192$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.34 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 63c | 1,130$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 19c | 1,044$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…e881backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked No | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed No | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…230ebacked Yes | 31c | 977.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3f…11ffbacked Yes | 41c | 878.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…7448backed Yes | 22c | 857.39$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…639ebacked Yes | 16c | 824$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…ed9abacked Yes | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…05fdbacked Yes | 31c | 725.93$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed Yes | 28c | 714.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…e57abacked No | 77c | 650.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Yes | 39c | 650$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…067ebacked No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 629$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…5c03backed Yes | 40c | 580$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Yes | 18c | 533.51$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 37c | 514$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 20c | 477$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed No | 60c | 463.57$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…b581backed Yes | 36c | 420$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed No | 78c | 404$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed No | 60c | 401.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 21c | 400.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 40c | 377$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe148…d084backed Yes | 22c | 371.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 15c | 355.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…5fddbacked No | 62c | 325.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 66c | 324.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 31c | 319.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 60c | 309.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 65c | 305.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed Yes | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed No | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +160.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 23c | 299.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…2606backed Yes | 34c | 297.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…78e9backed Yes | 42c | 283.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -69%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 277.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.47 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…6c8ebacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…1d08backed Yes | 27c | 254.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…deddbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 59c | 249.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?this page
- Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Beyoncé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Billie Eilish rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Catherine Princess of Wales rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Diddy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Greta Thunberg rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Isabella Ladera rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Jair Bolsonaro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Jimmy Carter rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes won
- Will Joe Biden rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Justin Trudeau rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Kamala Harris rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Kanye West / Ye rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Katy Perry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes won
- Will Kylian Mbappé rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Lionel Messi rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Mark Carney rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will María Corina Machado rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Pope Francis rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes won
- Will Sam Altman rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Timothée Chalamet rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Travis Kelce rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes won
- Will Vladimir Putin rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No won
- Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.