TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,022
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,022 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed Yes19c25,423$4,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,641.941788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked No0c15,055$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.05944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+195.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e15…cfdbbacked No62c15,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,30020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes37c14,225$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,902.566150.8%31 W · 30 L+16.6wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+158.1%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No78c10,826$8,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,475.996328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No74c9,964$7,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,372.855843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes35c9,024$3,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,849.866328.6%18 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes15c6,414$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,427.854134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5eb…f269backed No79c6,000$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,71010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked No3c5,552$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed No77c3,861$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.381323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a35…0d46backed No80c3,385$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69720%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes27c2,703$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.822948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes29c2,219$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.341540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c14…cc49backed Yes25c2,192$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes19c2,036$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.545735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe419…5839backed No66c1,680$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.697139.4%28 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes24c1,644$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.987132.4%23 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e4…c23fbacked Yes22c1,488$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.511127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No11c1,454$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.943125.8%8 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+104%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No11c1,454$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.944531.1%14 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+143.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes80c1,255$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.981291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa234…f7ebbacked No76c1,100$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8334766%31 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No5c1,069$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5118311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026312.9%34 W · 229 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed No79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7903842.1%16 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+114.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92c9…64d1backed No3c924.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.31633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes25c909.88$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.415151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No75c887.96$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.642657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes22c823.6$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.219011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No2c803$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.846716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes22c700.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.7112636.5%46 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc24d…95a5backed No73c682.73$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes22c656.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.578923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8496…27b6backed No77c649.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-74.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes37c632.72$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.049850%49 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4dc…0fc3backed Yes54c555.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.141526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes10c535$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.492814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes22c507.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.047024.3%17 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked No75c489$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.371816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-77.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x391a…dce4backed Yes12c419.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.58425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+109.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6828…1056backed Yes20c400$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32011850%59 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa43…f80fbacked No76c396.73$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x027c…60f2backed Yes27c369.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+107.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6af…da78backed No80c346.16$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…9270backed No77c332.66$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed No80c303$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.41625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91df…68c1backed Yes39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes16c300$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2538041.3%33 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528e…1d21backed Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdafe…c673backed Yes16c228.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No74c215$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.53432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed No73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508746%40 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…9178backed Yes16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1683542.9%15 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+160.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yes25c180$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.772917.2%5 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…369ebacked No72c174$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329c…578dbacked Yes29c170$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb826…2606backed No77c159$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.431020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x235e…4bf7backed Yes16c156.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.573100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+221%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes20c138.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.872339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick30cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No72c138.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.364522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503f…b8c6backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde10…1139backed No73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick53cpaid-79.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Yes29c122.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.83145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes27c118.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes11c106.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.33043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Yes68c104.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.881464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf936…4d15backed Yes37c95.36$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2e…1bbabacked No72c91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes19c84.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.681435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+48.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf6c…7597backed Yes26c78.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.08728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a2…2250backed Yes20c73.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.681080%8 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+91.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes28c72.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1714355.2%79 W · 64 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d9c…56fabacked Yes30c69.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.23683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+134.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked No79c68.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.256136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d16…12d0backed No73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40c6…24f3backed No76c65.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b1…76b0backed No72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.91154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b6…8f2bbacked No68c55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid+47.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda23…080ebacked No73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-42%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No77c52.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.373138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb257…f221backed Yes32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+125.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Yes21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.52748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed No74c48.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.588442.9%36 W · 48 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb760…ccd7backed Yes29c41.75$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.647946.8%37 W · 42 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick34cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf0d…8d31backed No76c32.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bad…aa78backed No73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ca4…5297backed No71c28.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f7…d77fbacked No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…4cc0backed No78c26.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fe5…8b99backed No64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.719834.8%69 W · 129 L-23.7wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x690d…56e9backed No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ae…a648backed No63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…6e71backed No75c19.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes61c17.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.069157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…7b91backed No70c17.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed No76c16.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No76c13.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.220544.4%91 W · 114 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.