AI · resolved market

Will Benjamin Netanyahu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1d905db5d8d121a697fbc74decec96d2966351fbe261f5a411880d4ea7df851

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 4, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,189

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,190 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	4,235$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.97	1,363	6.8%93 W · 1,270 L	-20.2wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df1…72e7backed Yes	8c	2,262$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	3c	1,885$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	190	11.6%22 W · 168 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc4…53d4backed Yes	7c	1,440$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	38cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa842…e305backed Yes	6c	666.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	10c	487.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes	3c	350$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	96	37.5%36 W · 60 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…df03backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80b7…24ccbacked Yes	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	7c	297.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	574	26.8%154 W · 420 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8967…41aebacked Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	479	38%182 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…9511backed Yes	8c	190$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd28…2163backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event