TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed Yes38c73,642$27,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,776.271788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No63c25,079$15,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,821.122853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes61c17,157$10,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,608.62133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…c1ffbacked No64c9,800$6,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,27210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…37c5backed Yes36c9,800$3,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,272250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes43c8,605$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,909.92911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No54c8,318$4,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,473.182638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803125.8%8 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+104%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804531.1%14 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+143.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed No65c7,924$5,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,146.131216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No60c7,853$4,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,739.496328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cfa…07c3backed No65c7,748$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes37c7,414$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,689.454134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd3…f7d3backed No61c5,536$3,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,356.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No41c5,432$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.612941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked No64c5,000$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.711330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No64c5,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2004151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No62c4,121$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.762615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes37c4,117$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c14…cc49backed No49c4,086$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed No56c3,981$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.861540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes46c3,960$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,130.38944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+195.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed No40c3,876$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.352626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed No22c3,453$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.669435.1%33 W · 61 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+167%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No63c3,333$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.183447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No20c3,254$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.566150.8%31 W · 30 L+16.6wins+0.27per pick24cpaid+158.1%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x723e…ba7fbacked No10c3,156$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.640%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes38c2,506$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.018923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked No59c2,341$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.746328.6%18 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked No1c2,296$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes38c2,289$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.21850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed Yes40c2,051$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.84843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed No60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8b…657dbacked No3c1,884$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a5e6backed No1c1,813$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes47c1,709$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.37611.8%9 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-72.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacd…9109backed Yes41c1,700$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0031241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No56c1,554$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.572657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e3…f4a0backed No64c1,309$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.591861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x603c…ac70backed Yes41c1,307$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Yes51c1,300$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6414450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa704…867cbacked Yes39c1,274$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2322…7138backed No61c1,274$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db0…c35fbacked Yes39c1,274$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…818bbacked No61c1,274$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7663…fefdbacked No61c1,274$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b58…72bebacked Yes39c1,274$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb892…d78cbacked No61c1,274$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb11…2075backed Yes39c1,274$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea8…7d28backed No61c1,274$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde6c…d0d6backed Yes39c1,274$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6427…e4f5backed Yes35c1,265$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.23333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44c…4547backed Yes43c1,239$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.611070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e4…c23fbacked No44c1,086$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.41127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked No59c1,072$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.212948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf4…5608backed Yes37c1,046$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.371546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59010426.9%28 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes33c1,000$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.337238.9%28 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.396839.7%27 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.996716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f8…7448backed No59c957.55$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.311435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b9…d5eabacked Yes39c906.33$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed No61c900$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.821457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked No71c876.77$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.192454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x674b…762cbacked Yes57c872.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2148…639ebacked No47c872$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.84119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4919…067ebacked No59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde67…f2debacked Yes43c830$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807132.4%23 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42f…78a0backed No54c760$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.847636.8%28 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No48c735.49$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.6212636.5%46 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed No59c721.82$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4272454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked No69c708.23$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.68911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-74.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed No57c706.45$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes35c700$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.471921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…9270backed No64c695.66$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed No57c660$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.94835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51d…3ca1backed No60c650$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.41435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No56c646.7$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.077338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2808…16babacked Yes38c640.91$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.64911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-70.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd140…9554backed No59c621.11$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.43812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-83.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed No65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec06…9178backed No56c599.99$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.23542.9%15 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+160.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes33c599.03$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.81205%1 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-84.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80b7…2d56backed No53c587.83$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed No57c570$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.22528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes39c537.87$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.7819011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc6…411fbacked Yes37c534.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed No60c504.99$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.991625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aae…251cbacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2851330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+181.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed No67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351250%6 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb27f…8908backed Yes37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3152035%7 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…ef5fbacked No61c500$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.894641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fcb…85b9backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Yes43c499.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes40c499.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.