TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed Yes13c7,323$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.761788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c5,040$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.691,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed Yes68c4,642$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.72763%17 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes17c4,378$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.135735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed Yes8c4,350$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,998.55843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes20c3,684$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.617132.4%23 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes31c2,987$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.372133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e4…c23fbacked No71c2,974$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked Yes23c2,333$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.742853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5172…0581backed No11c2,180$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.81030%3 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick13cpaid+70.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206716.4%11 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e77…c4f3backed No77c2,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8733…ee86backed Yes19c2,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620580%4 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick23cpaid+269.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4dc…0fc3backed Yes29c1,384$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.191526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cde…5b98backed No12c1,332$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.843125.8%8 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+104%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed No12c1,332$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.844531.1%14 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+143.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc125…a4c1backed Yes28c1,189$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+407.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…324ebacked No4c1,051$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…c54fbacked Yes16c1,027$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.822634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+133.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026312.9%34 W · 229 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Yes7c1,000$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,328.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked No79c999$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.212657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x069a…4634backed Yes18c948.89$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.094100%4 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+915.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes12c859.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.199041.1%37 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes21c815.2$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.954850%24 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Yes75c777$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.255448.1%26 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked Yes17c700$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5816328.6%18 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes10c675$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.16439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed No78c600$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4671118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes23c591.29$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.792751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4151435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes12c499.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes19c399.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.998923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2341118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes16c298.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.37024.3%17 W · 53 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdafe…c673backed Yes13c298.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.46837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+90.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d1…659fbacked No78c290$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-63.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes18c283.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7519011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefab…b927backed Yes17c120$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.531338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9c…56fabacked Yes22c115.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick46cpaid+134.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes37c114.44$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.699850%49 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a5…d545backed No80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes17c81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.233432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fb9…99c3backed No79c70.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Yes17c62.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.872748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes42c43.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.414355.2%79 W · 64 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f73…2385backed Yes73c41.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+292.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe5b…babfbacked No79c29.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed No76c22.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.884748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x34f4…1476backed Yes60c17.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.