TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$637,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$625,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 679 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee50…7ed6backed No43c104,542$45,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,199.631788.2%15 W · 2 L+7.5wins+0.44per pick44cpaid+229.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes59c44,903$26,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,271.621346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…f845backed No40c37,116$14,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,198.856328.6%18 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes54c31,160$16,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,810.461330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No48c30,124$14,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,596.862615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-70.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfa…07c3backed No40c23,369$9,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,986.44520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed No60c22,916$13,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,260.55735.1%20 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc851…cd2abacked No39c20,587$8,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,461.682853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e3e…4a75backed Yes62c19,132$11,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,897.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No39c15,680$6,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,617.385843.1%25 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17ce…beecbacked No42c13,608$5,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,954.996328.6%18 W · 45 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Yes58c13,500$7,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,874.88120%0 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8203…0187backed No45c11,835$5,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,520.89922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-56.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes60c11,000$6,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,574.612948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c14…cc49backed Yes48c10,621$5,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…70efbacked Yes54c10,318$5,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,547.891816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-76.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Yes33c9,197$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,069.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-61.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked No54c9,144$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,217.571291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick62cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9b6…9b6abacked No38c8,755$3,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,447.032733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No42c8,702$3,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,044.464134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed No66c8,177$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.122416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x355f…0df8backed Yes47c7,749$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeee…a4a9backed Yes56c7,054$3,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,933.551540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Yes54c6,839$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,675.641513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-79.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed No54c6,511$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.727219.4%14 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Yes58c6,400$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-74.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfb3…4b43backed No39c6,123$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,721.982450%12 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes10c6,024$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.49435.1%33 W · 61 L+13.1wins+0.14per pick21cpaid+167%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked No60c5,491$3,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes52c5,281$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.691241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No51c5,276$2,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.383831.6%12 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87c7…e71dbacked No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes63c4,743$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2aa…21fbbacked No51c4,700$2,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,324.937238.9%28 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No47c4,661$2,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.36839.7%27 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b04…3a41backed Yes53c4,563$2,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,439.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x616a…6104backed Yes58c4,239$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6837…15e1backed Yes50c4,225$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes47c4,071$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.616453.1%34 W · 30 L+12.9wins+0.20per pick33cpaid+95.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes56c3,846$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.198923.6%21 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes57c3,790$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.232313%3 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-77.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes44c3,410$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.121643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes52c3,328$1,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9690…f2d5backed Yes36c3,326$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.376439.1%25 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes51c3,202$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.784522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc550…272dbacked Yes62c3,200$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes47c3,138$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.992528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5464…af99backed No46c3,090$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.821233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227f…41e3backed Yes57c3,064$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.14812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-84.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed No43c3,044$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.841030%3 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f09…5cd0backed Yes56c3,000$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53a4…4447backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6202330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…9708backed Yes55c3,000$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No48c2,900$1,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50212636.5%46 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2148…639ebacked Yes48c2,750$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,320119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x391a…dce4backed Yes62c2,591$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.45425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+109.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d1…32b8backed No64c2,545$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff6…0eb0backed No39c2,504$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.76540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed No45c2,495$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.771118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes35c2,475$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.619011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960f…46cfbacked Yes63c2,381$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No50c2,240$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.194151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No54c2,200$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.9945738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88df…a457backed No39c2,042$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,252.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7b…154bbacked No75c2,025$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.12839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6989…b412backed No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9205100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe72…cb10backed No40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004843.8%21 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3069…f8efbacked Yes54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0804161%25 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed No48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+56.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2853…3482backed Yes38c1,988$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.082454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes63c1,984$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed No45c1,958$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.84850%24 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b30…c01abacked No46c1,952$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes50c1,940$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.851450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc203…f9b0backed Yes53c1,891$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Yes43c1,879$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004450%22 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9a…553bbacked No44c1,805$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.531225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes9c1,776$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.844531.1%14 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.19per pick13cpaid+143.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc682…17bbbacked No41c1,753$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.541428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91b8…8e9fbacked Yes61c1,700$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed No49c1,658$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked No65c1,639$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.082454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf732…d078backed No72c1,624$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.131618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-70.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes4c1,622$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7418311.5%21 W · 162 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f7…2501backed No73c1,611$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.772646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed No44c1,492$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.81675%12 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes45c1,448$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No75c1,422$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.42763%17 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6561…c074backed No52c1,410$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e1…8cd2backed Yes64c1,402$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…ffa3backed Yes52c1,334$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6985151%26 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Yes59c1,284$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes42c1,281$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.361921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b3…d03dbacked No54c1,246$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.592650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7373…7701backed Yes37c1,231$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.432722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17c0…8ee9backed No61c1,228$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3554…a6e6backed Yes61c1,189$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x429a…d58cbacked No59c1,175$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-65.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.