TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x355f…0df8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2913.8%4 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-8.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
World Politics — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$147.78
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$169.74
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$98.95
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$3,457
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11,606Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.9%+$6,607.1
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$126.2
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$4,275.81
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,041.24
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,859.24
Will PAS win a majority of seats in Moldova elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$884.74
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.59
Will APNU win the most seats in the 2025 Guyana National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.87
Will Aubrey Norton win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.62
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.04
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$830.18
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$607.09
Will Unity win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,118.43
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+2,075.7%+$8,789.28
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$973.35
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,115.42
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$187.98
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$522.29
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$815.83
Will the next Pope be from Asia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.2
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,381Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,380.78
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.98
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$798.66
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.85
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$50.28
US government shutdown by October 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+177.5%+$446.48
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$303.26
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+57.6%+$186.75
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$616.08
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.37
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$137.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+28.6%+$24.86
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+376.2%+$365.51
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$185.5
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$3,650.24
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28.48
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+62.1%+$216.09
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$733.15
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$34.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$2,337.72
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$143.7
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$89.32
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$92.93
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+127.4%+$100.36
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.67
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$411.08
"Weapons" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.86
"Weapons" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 90–94%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.9
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+58.4%+$31.63
"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is 90% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+422.7%+$268.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-68.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darren White win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$12.16
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$86.73
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,096Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+35.8%+$391.89
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.17
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 12-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$6,210.91
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$84.6
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,675Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.9%+$2,237.11
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$775.42
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-74.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$888.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$632.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$211.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 0% and -1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.