Movies · resolved market
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdcd3fc5cf560770987b743bed2321383e1d853812fb9ba60118ca74eebdd0d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 18,844$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes | 0c | 16,819$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 10,037$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.09 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed Yes | 1c | 7,283$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 33c | 4,906$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.55 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 2c | 3,992$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…5ac6backed Yes | 1c | 3,962$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…f3d0backed Yes | 3c | 3,867$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…86e4backed Yes | 2c | 3,359$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed Yes | 3c | 3,052$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,921$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…ff18backed Yes | 2c | 2,673$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 2c | 2,657$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 30c | 2,651$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Yes | 26c | 2,182$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 29c | 2,135$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 30c | 1,881$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.68 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 10c | 1,879$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…a91cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,617$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,530$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…4a78backed Yes | 1c | 1,431$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 1c | 1,354$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…d249backed Yes | 2c | 1,349$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…f7ebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,271$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 1,082$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.67 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 1c | 1,070$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…e18abacked Yes | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…044cbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 1c | 991.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 29c | 932.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…4166backed Yes | 11c | 914.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…f3d3backed Yes | 6c | 904.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 1c | 858.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…70efbacked Yes | 47c | 801.77$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.76 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…b2afbacked Yes | 26c | 769$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 3c | 737.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Yes | 25c | 664.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 62c | 659.43$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 28c | 573.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 518.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked Yes | 36c | 502.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e3…63fbbacked Yes | 2c | 485.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed Yes | 32c | 450$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…9512backed Yes | 3c | 435.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 3c | 435.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 431.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.41 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed Yes | 29c | 419.97$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…0bf2backed Yes | 24c | 409.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…fe89backed Yes | 3c | 406.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed No | 73c | 353.23$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…740fbacked Yes | 39c | 332.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceac…fa1fbacked Yes | 27c | 327.11$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…6144backed Yes | 28c | 314.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 27c | 280.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 19c | 241$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 25c | 237.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed No | 69c | 226$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 79c | 211$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked Yes | 22c | 202.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 66c | 201.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…ebeebacked No | 71c | 191.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked Yes | 38c | 182.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9582…449bbacked Yes | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed Yes | 29c | 167$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…d264backed Yes | 30c | 165.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec9e…580cbacked Yes | 35c | 150.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a0…ca6abacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…3e4fbacked Yes | 10c | 134$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 18c | 129.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 71c | 126$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…75ebbacked Yes | 28c | 121.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bc…00d7backed Yes | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed No | 68c | 117.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…d974backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…d753backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…8f8dbacked No | 78c | 91.23$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d10abacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f4…362dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 24c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 76c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 29c | 57.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 43c | 56.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 68c | 50.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.