Movies · resolved market
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0587d2dba85e8bb749d03e17fac3697e56467b57abf5442691e3d2b87dde05e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1de…ffd8backed Yes | 55c | 9,092$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…6414backed No | 2c | 8,762$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…59f0backed No | 43c | 7,699$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2436…1858backed No | 1c | 7,114$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…40c0backed No | 3c | 7,005$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 1c | 6,812$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 31c | 6,580$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.72 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed No | 4c | 5,249$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 17c | 5,000$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 1c | 4,629$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 72c | 4,558$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…87a8backed No | 0c | 4,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 2c | 3,745$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked Yes | 70c | 3,342$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 61c | 3,217$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.82 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 2c | 2,899$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 5c | 2,850$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…181dbacked No | 4c | 2,793$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 25c | 2,729$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed No | 42c | 2,724$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c4abbacked No | 1c | 2,653$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 3c | 2,627$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f0…ae31backed No | 12c | 2,413$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 2c | 2,316$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 1c | 2,174$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…7a38backed No | 1c | 2,174$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 2c | 2,154$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 2c | 2,013$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…d837backed No | 1c | 1,956$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 1,891$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 5c | 1,878$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -34%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 2c | 1,556$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed No | 62c | 1,449$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.1 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,169$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.46 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,158$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.51 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 1,044$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.35 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dff…1f35backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…adbebacked Yes | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +167%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 21c | 963.14$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.23 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…fde8backed Yes | 38c | 933.61$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 10c | 900.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +138%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…b12abacked Yes | 18c | 831.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 3c | 744.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0b44backed Yes | 42c | 721.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.02 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…1c2ebacked Yes | 58c | 718$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…7684backed No | 7c | 697.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 14c | 690.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 26c | 684.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.44 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…d249backed No | 3c | 664.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed No | 61c | 599.99$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac3…55c8backed No | 4c | 558.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 9c | 546.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.61 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 522.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ba3bbacked No | 3c | 463.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…d1febacked No | 65c | 459.31$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 23c | 413$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…b722backed Yes | 55c | 403$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…901abacked No | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed Yes | 37c | 385$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 52c | 376.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 54c | 368.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 77c | 328.48$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked Yes | 62c | 319$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 318$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9f19backed No | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 10c | 309.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…a1cfbacked No | 7c | 303.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 76c | 291.55$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…a042backed Yes | 37c | 276.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 65c | 249.83$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…f899backed No | 12c | 245.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…4a2bbacked Yes | 77c | 243.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 59c | 228.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed Yes | 58c | 220.84$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed No | 38c | 216$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 14c | 214$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…5aa2backed No | 6c | 209.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 63c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…d384backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 47c | 199.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 11c | 195.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed Yes | 77c | 192$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked No | 23c | 170.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 32c | 166$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 33c | 165$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed Yes | 68c | 165$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 63c | 155.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…599ebacked No | 9c | 139.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 62c | 136.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 61c | 127.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.