TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x322a…3274

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Movies, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.96
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.02
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.68
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$57.22
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$571.32
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$50.22
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$26.64
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.89
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$466.24
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$43.52
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.27
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.1
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.16
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.72
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$153.17
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.84
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$81.18
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$157.14
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.63
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$176.87
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$53.76
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.4
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$132.3
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+100%+$264.06
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$137.76
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$23.13
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+566.7%+$57.8
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.08
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$50.32
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$231.46
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.53
Will Joachim Trier be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$112.81
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.68
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+465.4%+$116.06
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$77.44
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$304.68
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$45.6
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+30%+$44.58
Will Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$51.6
Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.96
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.16
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$44.85
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$163.52
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$357.75
Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+614.3%+$217.58
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+25%+$29.4
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 10% and 15% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$98.58
Will Cătălin Drulă get between 5% and 10% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?-fkEWbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.08
Will Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$146.79
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 30% and 35% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+194.1%+$402.6
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$186.34
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.76
Will the US strike Syria next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$106.08
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$57.04
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$101.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25.27
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$43.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$217.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$75.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+132.6%+$121.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$43.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Shakhove by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.