Movies · resolved market
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82f8d23b4eb3baa67cdb0766ef89c71d05180c0748858ebfe2f06c3a06cdaf83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 29c | 1,456$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed No | 29c | 1,361$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.22 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…eae0backed No | 17c | 1,296$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked Yes | 74c | 1,243$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 29c | 1,056$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,030$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 24c | 1,012$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 16c | 1,008$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 71c | 942$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 26c | 893$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8acf…2f7bbacked No | 28c | 872$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 17c | 739$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed No | 16c | 730$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…85b7backed No | 29c | 689$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 74c | 673$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked No | 16c | 669$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed No | 17c | 655$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 17c | 643$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed Yes | 71c | 637$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 19c | 623$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 17c | 571$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 72c | 568$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed Yes | 73c | 551$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 71c | 551$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 22c | 549.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 16c | 524$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 72c | 515.38$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 20c | 506.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.58 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 20c | 506.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.47 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 71c | 494$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.26 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 16c | 491$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 28c | 491$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 72c | 491$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes | 71c | 489$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 72c | 475$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 71c | 465$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 71c | 450$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90a…2235backed Yes | 78c | 447.82$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 16c | 441$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed No | 29c | 422$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 17c | 414$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa18…7693backed Yes | 71c | 413$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 71c | 412$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 22c | 409.55$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 29c | 393$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed No | 29c | 389$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 29c | 386$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 71c | 385$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 71c | 380$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…7fc6backed No | 26c | 376.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed No | 16c | 365$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 17c | 353$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes | 71c | 351$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 53c | 341.33$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes | 71c | 326$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 28c | 301$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed Yes | 74c | 298$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 51c | 296.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 17c | 271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 29c | 270$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 29c | 267$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 21c | 254.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 71c | 254$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 29c | 252$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f72…089dbacked Yes | 80c | 250.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 16c | 242$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde61…b063backed No | 18c | 230.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 29c | 225$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…1272backed Yes | 71c | 218$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 71c | 208$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Yes | 77c | 193.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 29c | 191$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed Yes | 71c | 184$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 28c | 174$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 171.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 19c | 167.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 18c | 166.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 19c | 165.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 72c | 161$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 22c | 159.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 17c | 152$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked No | 29c | 146$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 16c | 145$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…f63cbacked No | 29c | 141$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 76c | 137$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edc…274fbacked Yes | 77c | 129.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…1f44backed Yes | 80c | 125.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 123.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 15c | 104.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 16c | 104$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "F1" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "KPop Demon Hunters" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Weapons" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Wicked: For Good" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will "Zootopia 2" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.