TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4b9a…b04f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Music, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Music at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3016.7%5 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+112.8%+$159
Will "The Secret Agent" win Best Motion Picture - Non-English Language at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.65
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Motion Picture – Animated at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.66
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Will Sinners win Best Original Score – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.36
Will "Sinners" win the award for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Sarah Snook (All Her Fault) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.85
Will Sinners win Best Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$20.72
Will Stephen Graham (Adolescence) win Best Actor – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.89
Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Jessie Buckley (Hamnet) win Best Actress – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.49
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Rose Byrne (If I Had Legs I'd Kick You) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.95
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Will Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.54
Will One Battle After Another win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.25
Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.04
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.3
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.16
Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Will Jean Smart (Hacks) win Best Actress – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$154.38
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphinsbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs. Jacksonville Dolphins: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+64.6%+$83.9
Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Albany Great Danes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dayton Flyers vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$64.99
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+73.3%+$73.28
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Elon Phoenix vs. Northeastern Huskies: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguarsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Albany Great Danes: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Robert Morris Colonials vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Saint Joseph's Hawksbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.6
VCU Rams vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+72.4%+$105
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Northwestern Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Little Rock Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$175.87
Chattanooga Mocs vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falconsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+233.3%+$175
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Wright State Raidersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friars: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$70.2
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+92%+$79.05
Spread: BYU Cougars (-5.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.6%+$12.45
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+156.4%+$156.76
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,216.37
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$15.67
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$148.92
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$174.22
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+107.2%+$202.81
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$205.07
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$138.7
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$112.5
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+232.2%+$228.5
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+45.6%+$156.58
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+70.1%+$182.18
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$70.8
Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Park Sung-jae in jail by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+89%+$93.71
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+319.6%+$650.45
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+101.6%+$100.81
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+123.7%+$61.94
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.05
Will another person be the next Pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
All 22 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$1,391.96
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$981.98
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.08
Will FC Augsburg be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$11
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,649.97
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$126.34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,031Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.2%+$413.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$2,639.93
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,030.98
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$4,578.98
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,203.96
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,749.98
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,599.99
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$5,079.97
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,479Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$1,420.94
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+150%+$1,300.87
All 16 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$81
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,184.16
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$152.31
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$151.7
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+100.5%+$91.06
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.85
US government shutdown in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+101.2%+$84.48
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+135.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Kennesaw State vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP dip to $1.80 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+127.3%+$281.79
Bitcoin all time high in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+78.8%+$283.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+95.8%+$56.57
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$133.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+72.4%+$126
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+56.3%+$56.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63%+$48.99
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+60.9%+$70.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+244.8%+$191.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+71.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+242.5%+$80.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,019.99
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+66.7%+$32
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+86.6%+$258.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+85.2%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$83.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+51.2%+$11.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$119.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Abacked ALLINNERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.