Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Wright State Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9205c2140dcb0018937458eda147da5f32a615a1cd32bc2e956c049c72679f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Oakland Golden Grizzlies, Wright State Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 9c | 5,156$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.99 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wright State Raiders | 62c | 4,051$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.38 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 38c | 2,867$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.38 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Wright State Raiders | 56c | 2,328$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 38c | 1,846$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.34 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x128d…c7aabacked Wright State Raiders | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…6be8backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 38c | 1,667$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wright State Raiders | 78c | 1,381$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 23c | 893.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.34 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 39c | 670$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wright State Raiders | 58c | 577.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 23c | 390.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 42c | 240.35$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wright State Raiders | 57c | 219.86$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Wright State Raiders | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 40c | 142.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 23c | 129$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 30c | 126.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 42c | 118.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 30c | 114.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Wright State Raiders | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 40c | 96.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 41c | 86.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 84.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Wright State Raiders | 78c | 65.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 18c | 55.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Wright State Raiders | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…25dfbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 47.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 45.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 44c | 33.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Wright State Raiders | 72c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 43c | 27.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Oakland Golden Grizzlies | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…c6abbacked Wright State Raiders | 79c | 19.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Wright State Raiders | 75c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…b1b4backed Wright State Raiders | 76c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.