TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b05…25df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
297
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20245%91 W · 111 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.32
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.73
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+82.9%+$24.88
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.11
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+150%+$27
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$25.11
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: French Flair vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.25
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+67.2%+$9.83
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+67%+$10.05
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT5540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.44
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28%+$5.57
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.47
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Alcorn State Braves vs. Alabama State Hornetsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Northwestern State Demons vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Nicholls Colonels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$27.17
Houston Christian Huskies vs. New Orleans Privateersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.2
Towson Tigers vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$94.4
Auburn Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.79
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers vs. Missouri State Bearsbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42.63
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flamesbacked Liberty Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.83
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked UT Martin Skyhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50.09
Morehead State Eagles vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked Morehead State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+298.3%+$55.05
Michigan State Spartans vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Bradley Braves vs. Evansville Acesbacked Evansville Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Villanova Wildcats vs. Providence Friarsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.8%+$44.11
Navy Midshipmen vs. American Eaglesbacked Navy Midshipmen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsbacked Cincinnati Bearcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+177.8%+$48
Texas Longhorns vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Southern Jaguars vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$41
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+110.5%+$105
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$20.22
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+194.1%+$48.78
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Spread: Broncos (-13.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$24
Spread: Cowboys (-8.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.37
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$24.98
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+316.7%+$38
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+79.4%+$22.07
All 21 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+316.7%+$152
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$26
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked Minnesota · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$23
California vs. Hawaiibacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$39
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Magicbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Mavericks vs. Warriorsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+316.7%+$31.67
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.82
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.2%+$12.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed yache123 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.