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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Liberty Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisiana Tech Bulldogsof Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, Liberty Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,154 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs43c3,785$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.465,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs66c2,996$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.8710736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Liberty Flames55c2,818$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.432,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c2,658$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.8423149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Liberty Flames67c2,311$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.163,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs74c2,142$1,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.531,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Liberty Flames55c2,068$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.061,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs19c1,725$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.3755532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs28c1,528$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.741,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs51c1,156$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.452,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c927.13$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.72,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Liberty Flames53c890.34$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Liberty Flames63c804.41$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.781,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Liberty Flames54c712.72$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.59051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Liberty Flames47c631.76$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.386357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Liberty Flames28c581.11$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.471,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liberty Flames63c519.83$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.94,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c498.35$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.992,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Liberty Flames47c419.34$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5416746.1%77 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs60c398.06$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.511,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Liberty Flames59c383.4$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.2113141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c325$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26062140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Liberty Flames61c322$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.252,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Liberty Flames28c310.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.578342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liberty Flames44c279.43$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2625337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs46c273.93$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs80c222.01$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5584854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs19c199.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c198.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.138837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs72c196.33$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.169448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Liberty Flames80c188.55$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.849352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs59c175.5$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.721,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Liberty Flames45c161.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7424951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c153.38$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.711,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs17c150$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Liberty Flames54c148.32$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6387047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Liberty Flames25c139.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7753635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c134.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4432246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Liberty Flames47c127.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.489745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Liberty Flames80c124.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.444544.4%20 W · 25 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c118.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs21c105.66$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3520834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs21c99.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4916755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0289…6ba5backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs21c99.72$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs21c99.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5416721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x350e…7528backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c78.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.011650%8 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37c76.15$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.333554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Liberty Flames80c75.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.074,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs45c71.64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs20c66.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Liberty Flames22c64.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.473,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs57c61.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.498744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f65…4f96backed Liberty Flames80c59.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Liberty Flames80c58.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.932152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs39c57.64$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x913f…916dbacked Liberty Flames80c55.94$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick69cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs21c52.69$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6361244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x080a…f639backed Liberty Flames80c52.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Liberty Flames68c52.49$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.72458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cd…e98dbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs30c49.87$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.135343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3831…7f10backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs73c48.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs21c47.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4917945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Liberty Flames67c47.69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7427055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Liberty Flames36c46.81$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Liberty Flames79c42.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.151,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x001f…4c4abacked Liberty Flames80c37.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.832665.4%17 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Liberty Flames80c37.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.833135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Liberty Flames54c32.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.626566.2%43 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b05…25dfbacked Liberty Flames61c32.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.835540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005b…2947backed Liberty Flames66c30.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Liberty Flames68c29.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.851668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36f0…2711backed Liberty Flames66c27.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.436162.3%38 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Liberty Flames80c25.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.692454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs56c22.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0925239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed Liberty Flames80c18.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.192445.8%11 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-25.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7132…f7f0backed Liberty Flames80c18.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.921758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5e…7f1cbacked Liberty Flames80c18.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.922142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Liberty Flames80c18.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.923961.5%24 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62d…72b3backed Liberty Flames80c18.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa9…c178backed Louisiana Tech Bulldogs77c17.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.984281%34 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4f6…6b1cbacked Liberty Flames80c17.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2501…d795backed Liberty Flames80c14.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.56540%2 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick75cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68bb…2c5cbacked Liberty Flames80c14.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac13…f64abacked Liberty Flames80c14.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x536f…3ac1backed Liberty Flames80c13.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4f…a33dbacked Liberty Flames80c13.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.